On Saturday, 25 May, as part of Round 38 of La Liga, "Almería" will host "Cádiz" at their home ground. Both teams have already lost their chances of survival; however, they picked up points last weekend: the Rojiblancos secured a victory over "Mallorca", while the Yellow Submarine played out a goalless draw with "Las Palmas".
The match will take place in Almería at the Power Horse Stadium.
After two years in the top division, "Almería" is returning to Segunda, and this is more than deserved. The team has managed only two victories in the league - against "Las Palmas" (0:1) and "Rayo Vallecano" (0:1), with the rest being a mix of draws and defeats. In their last three rounds, the Striped Ones lost at home to "Betis" and "Barcelona," although they looked decent on both occasions (3:2 and 0:2).
Last weekend, Pepe Mel's men drew 2:2 with "Mallorca" thanks to precise strikes from Sergio Arribas and Bruno Langa. Ahead of their final home match in La Liga, "Almería" aims to secure their first win at the Power Horse Stadium this season (the hosts have gathered only eight points in 18 home rounds, the worst record in the division). It is hardly surprising that the team has conceded the highest number of goals among all the Primera clubs this season (74).
Throughout the season, "Cádiz" played with fire, eventually losing their chance to remain in the elite division. Despite three matches without a loss, including two victories over "Getafe" (1:0) and "Sevilla" (0:1), the Andalusians are mathematically unable to catch up with "Mallorca", who drew with "Almería" last weekend. At the same time, the Yellow and Blues drew with "Las Palmas" (0:0), and now, before the final round, "Cádiz" occupies the 18th place in the table, trailing the Islanders by four points.
Argentine coach Mauricio Pellegrino, who joined the club from Chilean "Universidad de Chile" in January this year, has not achieved his main goal, although only six losses in 15 matches under the 52-year-old coach deserve respect. It is important to note that the Pirates have played very poorly away from home, having earned only 9 points in 18 away matches (9 goals scored, 30 conceded).
The first-round encounter ended in a 1:1 draw; moreover, these teams have drawn in their last three head-to-head meetings.
"Cádiz" will be without their main midfielder (Chust) and top scorer (Ramos) on Saturday evening. While "Almería," already long-relegated, can count on the support of their home fans and will be motivated to win their first home match this season, the Pirates will travel in a sombre mood. I dare to predict a triumph for "Almería."
These teams have consistently exchanged goals in their last seven head-to-head encounters. Despite all their personnel losses, "Cádiz" has a chance to score at least once against the league's weakest defence – I bet on "Both to Score."
Neither team is known for their penchant for set pieces (averaging fewer than four corners per match), so I bet on a total corners count of under 8.5.
In the last two head-to-head matches, these teams have consistently earned a combined total of five yellow cards, so confidently bet on a total caution count of over 3.5.
I predict a 2:1 win for "Almería."
# | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | G | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13:3 | 12 | |
2 | Real Madrid | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:2 | 8 | |
3 | Atl. Madrid | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:2 | 8 | |
4 | Villarreal | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 8 | |
5 | Girona | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:4 | 7 | |
6 | Alaves | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:3 | 7 | |
7 | Osasuna | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 5:7 | 7 | |
8 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10:9 | 6 | |
9 | Leganes | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 5 | |
10 | Mallorca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 5 | |
11 | Rayo Vallecano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4:5 | 4 | |
12 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3:4 | 4 | |
13 | Ath Bilbao | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3:4 | 4 | |
14 | Espanyol | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2:3 | 4 | |
15 | Valladolid | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -9 | 1:10 | 4 | |
16 | Getafe | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 | |
17 | Betis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 1:3 | 2 | |
18 | Las Palmas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 4:7 | 2 | |
19 | Sevilla | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 3:6 | 2 | |
20 | Valencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 3:7 | 1 | |
1 | Osasuna | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 | |
2 | Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 6 | |
3 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 | |
4 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 | |
5 | Atl. Madrid | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 4 | |
6 | Villarreal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:5 | 4 | |
7 | Alaves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 4 | |
8 | Ath Bilbao | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 4 | |
9 | Valladolid | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 | |
10 | Girona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 | |
11 | Leganes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 | |
12 | Espanyol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 | |
13 | Mallorca | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 | |
14 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 2 | |
15 | Las Palmas | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 | |
16 | Betis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 | |
17 | Valencia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 1 | |
18 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 | |
19 | Real Sociedad | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 | |
20 | Sevilla | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 | |
1 | Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 | |
2 | Atl. Madrid | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 | |
3 | Villarreal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 | |
4 | Girona | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 4 | |
5 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 | |
6 | Real Sociedad | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 | |
7 | Alaves | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 | |
8 | Mallorca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 | |
9 | Real Madrid | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 | |
10 | Leganes | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 | |
11 | Sevilla | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 | |
12 | Espanyol | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 1 | |
13 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 | |
14 | Betis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 1 | |
15 | Osasuna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 | |
16 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5:7 | 0 | |
17 | Ath Bilbao | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 | |
18 | Valladolid | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:10 | 0 | |
19 | Las Palmas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 | |
20 | Valencia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
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