On Saturday, June 8, Real Oviedo will host Eibar in the first leg of the Segunda play-off. The visitors finished third in the league, just one point behind Valladolid, whereas the white-greens secured sixth place ahead of Racing Santander on goal difference.
The match will take place at the Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere in Oviedo.
Real Oviedo secured the 6th spot in the Segunda standings, equal on points with seventh-placed Racing Santander. The hosts have found themselves in a similar situation two years ago when they finished seventh, missing out on the play-offs to Girona only on goal difference. By finishing in the top six, Oviedo now get a chance to compete for promotion to the top flight and will face Eibar on Saturday evening.
In terms of form, the Carbayones have won their last two home matches - against Zaragoza (1-0) and Andorra (3-0), who are in the relegation zone. It is worth noting that in the final round of the regular season, Oviedo lost away to Eibar 4-3. The team has scored in their last five matches across all competitions.
Eibar finished third, just one point behind Valladolid and three behind Leganes, who had an excellent season. The Basque side have failed to secure a top-two finish and a Segunda title for the third consecutive year. Last season, they lost in the play-off final to Alaves, and now they aim for promotion again. On the road, Eibar have won just one of their last six games, with four defeats and one draw.
They ranked fourth in the league for away points (25 from 21 games, 27 goals scored, 31 conceded). Offensively, they're doing well, failing to score in only one of their last 12 games in all competitions. The visitors will miss their top scorer, Jon Bautista (17 goals), and defender Tejero (36 appearances, 2 goals), both due to injuries.
This season, the teams have met twice in the league, with Eibar avenging their 2-1 first-round defeat in Oviedo by winning the return at home 4-3.
Both clubs have managed a win each in their head-to-head encounters this season and aim to secure promotion to La Liga through the play-offs. Oviedo holds the home advantage with two consecutive home victories, while Eibar's away form has been disappointing in recent weeks. It's likely that Eibar might be content with a minimal defeat ahead of the return leg, so I'm betting on an Oviedo triumph.
Both teams have exchanged goals in their last three head-to-head matches and are motivated to fight for a La Liga spot, so I expect a high-scoring encounter.
The hosts understand the importance of securing a positive result at home and will attack from the off. I’m backing Oviedo to win the corner count.
Both teams will be fiercely competitive, knowing a play-off spot is on the line. I predict the total number of yellow cards to be over 3.5.
My bet for the correct score is a 2-1 victory for Real Oviedo.
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