On Tuesday, 18 June, as part of the Volleyball Nations League, Canada and Japan will clash.
The Canadians alternate between victories and defeats in this tournament, having beaten Turkey (3:1), Bulgaria (3:0), Cuba (3:1), and the USA (3:1), but losing to Poland (1:3), Slovenia (2:3), Argentina (1:3), and Serbia (1:3). They currently sit in seventh place, securing a playoff spot, though their point lead is minimal.
The Japanese national team is in fifth place in the standings, with six wins and two losses. In the previous match, they defeated Slovenia (3:1), but not long before that, they were decisively beaten by Poland (0:3). Japan's squad may not be top-tier, but they are formidable.
Since 2019, the teams have met six times. Canada has two victories (3:0, 3:2), while Japan has four (3:1, 3:1, 3:1, 3:2).
If the game were held in Ottawa, the odds on Canada would undoubtedly be different, as they perform quite well on their home turf. However, the match will be in the Philippines, making physical acclimatisation more challenging for the Canadians, while it's much easier for the Japanese. I think Canada can still take one set, so I'll go with HANDICAP1 by sets (+2). The odds for Canada have significantly dropped from 7.00 to 3.40 overnight, so the handicap on sets is not as appealing now; thus, HANDICAP1 by points (+11.5) can be considered.
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