The first match of the Italian Superliga final between Perugia and Monza will take place on Thursday, 18th of April.
The hosts are performing confidently in the playoffs. They first won against Verona (currently a rather strong team) 3:0 in matches, then Milan 3:1, again looking excellent. Overall, the team has few weak spots to exploit. However, their matches often end with TO 3.5 sets, so a 3:0 win is not their forte.
Initially, the visitors were not even considered as Superliga finalists. Everyone predicted Trentino to win, but Monza managed to come back from a 0:2 deficit in the series and win 3:2. Such a victory could inspire the team, so they should not be written off in this match. At present, the club ranks fifth in the league table.
Since 2023, the teams have met five times. Perugia have won four matches (3:1, 3:0, 3:0, 3:0) and Monza came out stronger once (3:2).
The bookmakers again do not have faith in the visitors even though they've shown they will fight to the end. For me, Perugia are the favourites here, but giving them the odds of 1.21 for a win seems rather unfair to the guests. I would simply take the second set handicap (2.5) at 1.64, as I believe Monza is quite capable of clinging onto a set or perhaps even a couple.
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