Jasmine Paolini - Daria Kasatkina predictions and free betting tips [28/06/2024]

In the semifinal of the Eastbourne tournament, Russian Daria Kasatkina will face off against Italy's Jasmine Paolini on the court today. The match is scheduled to commence at 14:00 GMT.

Daria Kasatkina

In this season, the Russian tennis player has played five matches on grass courts, losing only to Aryna Sabalenka. She managed to close out her matches against Raducanu and Wang in two sets with a total under 18.5. However, her matches against Yuan and Kostyuk were significantly tougher, requiring three sets each.

Regarding her win rate on grass courts this season, it's important to note that the stats may not fully reflect Kasatkina's readiness and form. Her first serve percentage across these five matches stands at 62.8% – far from an ideal figure. Nonetheless, it would be premature to declare this grass season unsuccessful for Daria, given her past accolades, such as being a Wimbledon quarterfinalist and a finalist at the Eastbourne grass tournament.

Jasmine Paolini

The Italian has been a genuine revelation in the women's tour over the past two seasons. Transitioning to grass courts this year, Paolini came in as a finalist of the French Open, a result nobody anticipated. Moreover, she has already won both of her grass matches. While Mertens retired without completing the first set, Paolini managed to beat the sturdy Boulter in two sets.

Paolini's average first serve percentage over these two matches stands at 73%, though this includes the incomplete match against Elise. More indicative are her stats from the Boulter match, boasting a first serve percentage of 67%. This is quite decent, especially considering her previous lack of success on grass courts, something that is undoubtedly changing this year.

Head-to-Head

Daria and Jasmine have faced each other on the court four times. Today's encounter will be their first off the clay courts, where Paolini leads the series 3-1.

Kasatkina vs Paolini Match Prediction

The most logical bet here would be on total over 22.5 games, as both players are tenacious and will fight for every point. There is no clear favourite in this match. While Daria enjoys the grass surface more, Jasmine is in peak form, balancing the scales and indicating a potentially extended match.