In Nottingham, on grass, the quarter-finals of the WTA 250 women's tournament are about to begin. Ons Jabeur and Karolína Plíšková will vie for a spot in the next round, and we're aiming to find a solid bet for this match.
Jabeur is excessively diligent, and sometimes she lacks a certain fluidity, as if her powerful work ethic prevents her from playing with pleasure, making her seem like she's working on a factory floor.
Jabeur has had numerous opportunities to win prestigious titles, but this diligence sometimes hinders her, and at crucial moments, she lacks concentration. For instance, in the previous two years at Wimbledon, the Tunisian tennis player easily reached the finals but then lost, although she was considered the main contender for the trophy.
Last year, Ons won several minor titles, but she fell short in the main tournaments. At Wimbledon, the North African tennis player outplayed everyone: Kvitová, Rybakina, Sabalenka, but against Markéta Vondroušová, she couldn't manage, not even winning a set. This was also the case in 2022 when Jabeur got a straightforward draw in the English major but couldn't muster the strength to outplay Elena Rybakina. Additionally, in that season, the Tunisian reached the US Open final and lost to Iga Świątek.
This year, Jabeur's performance has been weaker, but she achieved good results on clay; however, titles are still needed. At Roland Garros, the North African reached the quarter-finals, where she lost to Coco Gauff, and the Madrid Masters was another local success for Jabeur. Still, here too, she fell short of the semi-finals, losing to another American, Madison Keys.
On grass in Nottingham, the North African tennis player comfortably defeated Maria Osorio and Linda Fruhvirtová, with no issues in either match.
Facing Karolína Plíšková will be a slightly different match, perhaps similar to the one against Fruhvirtová, as Czech tennis has a uniform style, especially on grass. Jabeur must play rallies more effectively and spin the ball frequently to avoid allowing her opponent to play in a favourable attacking mode.
It's challenging for Plíšková to control her tennis, although her game used to be breathtakingly precise, as if there wasn't a shot she couldn't execute beautifully and accurately.
In the previous season, Karolína performed well only in the Australian major, followed by continuous failures, making it seem impossible for her to regain her former form.
This year is turning out better, but Plíšková still doesn't play reliably, although there are fewer complaints about her technique. Since winning Brisbane in 2020, the Czech claimed a title in Cluj-Napoca, where there were no tough opponents. The main thing is that Plíšková went through all the matches without issues and defeated Ana Bogdan in the final. The next tournament in Qatar was more challenging, but she reached the semi-finals, later experiencing back discomfort, deciding not to play against Iga Świątek. There were no successes on clay, but now it's grass, perfectly suiting Plíšková's powerful flat play.
In Nottingham, the Czech tennis player had two not-so-good matches. Typically, if Plíšková serves poorly, there are issues with other technical parameters. Yet, surprisingly, weak serves didn't prevent the Czech from playing rallies wisely, executing attacking combinations, and receiving opponents' serves effectively. Thus, Plíšková is good in play.
Against Ons Jabeur, she needs to play even better, strengthening her rallies, and her serve should be quality without unnecessary double faults or other blunders.
In 2019, at the US Open, Plíšková defeated Jabeur. Later, in 2020 and '21, the players had matches in Qatar, with an even score.
I'm betting on TO 21.5 games in the match. Yes, Jabeur is in better shape and generally stronger than Plíšková, but the Czech won't concede in two sets. Even if she loses, the score will be 7-5; 6-4, or there might even be a tie-break in such a match.
Comments0