In the Roland Garros men's quarter-finals, we have the Bulgarian Grigor Dimitrov facing off against the Italian Jannik Sinner.
Grigor Dimitrov continues to amaze with his performances. Having returned to the top 10 of the world rankings in March this year after a hiatus since November 2018, the Bulgarian not only re-entered the elite tier of world tennis but also demonstrated excellent form by reaching two Masters finals. For Dimitrov, it was a significant achievement, considering that before this, he had only participated in three such finals throughout his career. In the Roland Garros 2024, Grigor Dimitrov shows stability and confidence. In the first round, the Bulgarian faced American Aleksandar Kovacevic and secured a 6-4, 6-3, 6-4 victory. In the second round, he played against Hungarian Fabian Marozsan. Grigor was even more dominant, starting with a crushing first set at 6-0. The subsequent sets also ended in his favour at 6-3 and 6-4.
The third round brought him a match against Belgian Zizou Bergs, which proved to be a bit more challenging. Dimitrov won the first set 6-3 and the second set in a tiebreak 7-6, indicating some resistance from Bergs. However, the Bulgarian lost the third set 4-6 but recovered and concluded the match in his favour in the fourth set with 6-4. His most recent encounter with Hubert Hurkacz, who has been showing strong results lately, ended with Dimitrov’s victory at 7-6, 6-4, 7-6. This speaks to the high confidence of the Bulgarian in decisive moments of the game, despite the seemingly easy scoreline. Dimitrov realised 2 out of 8 break points and saved 7 out of his 8.
The World No. 2 Jannik Sinner is showing outstanding results in 2024. Since the beginning of the season, the Italian has won three tournaments, including his first Grand Slam title, as well as the ATP 500 in Rotterdam and the ATP 1000 in Miami. At Roland Garros, Sinner started with a confident win over Christopher Eubanks with a score of 6-3, 6-3, 6-4. In the second round, he defeated Richard Gasquet 6-4, 6-2, 6-4, showcasing his power and precision. In the third round, he overcame Russian Pavel Kotov in three sets, each ending 6-4, affirming his dominance. As he progressed further in the tournament, Sinner faced Corentin Moutet, who played one of the best matches of his life, dragging Sinner into a challenging first set which the Italian lost 1-6.
However, in the subsequent sets, Sinner found his game and dominated, winning 6-2, 6-3, 6-1. This demonstrates not only his ability to adapt and recover after a tough start but also his capacity to maintain a high level of play even under pressure. Now, in the Roland Garros quarter-finals, Sinner will face Grigor Dimitrov, promising a tense showdown. Both tennis players are showing excellent form, and for Sinner, this will be a test, especially on clay, where he has historically not achieved significant success at the ATP 1000 level. The contest promises to be thrilling, considering the high skill level of both competitors and their prior experience in high-calibre tournaments.
Grigor Dimitrov and Jannik Sinner have met 4 times, with Sinner leading 3-1. Their first encounter was on 18 September 2020 in Rome on clay, where Dimitrov won 2-1. However, the subsequent three matches ended in Sinner's favour. On 27 March 2023 in Miami on hard court, Sinner prevailed 2-0. Then, on 2 October 2023 in Beijing on hard court, Sinner won again 2-1. Their last meeting was on 31 March 2024 in Miami on hard court, where Sinner confidently won 2-0.
Watching Dimitrov this year has been delightful as he showcases his best level in many years. The match against World No. 2 Sinner could be a breakout performance for him if the Italian continues to make errors as he did in the first four rounds. Yes, Sinner's opponents weren’t top-tier, but even so, Jannik provided chances. I expect a fierce battle from the Bulgarian and foresee the total games to be over 36.5.
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