Napoli - Lecce predictions and free betting tips [26/05/2024]

On Sunday, 26th May, at 38th round of Italian Serie A, “Napoli” will host “Lecce” at their home ground. The Partenopei have completely failed this campaign and risk missing out on European competitions, whereas the visitors have already secured their top-flight status.

Stadium

The match will take place in Naples at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium.

Napoli

Last season’s Scudetto winners “Napoli” have completely failed this campaign. Sitting 10th in the Serie A table prior to the final round, 5 points adrift of the top eight, the team has secured only one win in their last ten matches, drawing six times and losing thrice. After a home defeat to “Bologna” (0-2), the hosts managed to snatch a 2-2 draw against “Fiorentina” last weekend. Rrahmani opened the scoring early, but “La Viola” responded with Biraghi and Nzola in the first half, and only Kvaratskhelia's free-kick levelled the score.

With Atalanta’s success in the Europa League, ninth place could suffice for a continental berth, hence motivation for Francesco Calzone’s men is abundant. It is important to note, that Napoli have struggled at home this season, earning just 24 points in 18 home matches (13th in the division, 24 goals scored, 27 conceded). 

Lecce

“Lecce” managed to secure their top-flight status at the last moment. The Apulian team is now 14th in the Serie A table, 4 points clear from the relegation zone. In April, the yellow-reds notched important wins against direct competitors “Empoli” (1-0) and “Sassuolo” (3-0), but haven't won since. They drew with “Monza” (1-1) and “Cagliari” (1-1), and then lost to “Udinese” (0-2) and “Atalanta” (0-2) last weekend.

Goals from De Ketelaere and Scamacca in the second half decided the latter matches, thus, the visitors have no tournament motivation for Sunday’s game. However, Luca Gotti’s side have only lost one of their last five away matches – 3-0 in Milan in early April. In their previous six matches, Lecce conceded just 6 goals, pleasing their fans. Importantly, the underdogs haven't fared well on the road, earning just 13 points in 18 away fixtures (15 goals scored, 27 conceded). 

Head-to-head

“Napoli” thrashed their opponent 4-0 away in the first round. “Lecce” have won only once in the last seven meetings.

Prediction for Napoli vs Lecce

“Napoli” have failed most of this season and won just one of their last ten Serie A matches. However, the hosts are bound to grab three points on Sunday evening, as only a victory keeps their European dream alive. “Lecce” are safe from relegation and lack motivation, coupled with a busy medical room. Confidently placing a bet on the Partenopei’s triumph with a -1 handicap.

Prediction on total

In six of the last seven head-to-head meetings, “Napoli” have scored at least twice against the yellow-reds. Even without injured Osimhen, the hosts have enough stars and thus, bet on Napoli’s individual total over 1.5 goals.

Prediction on corners

“Napoli” are motivated by European competition and will assault the opponent’s goal from the start. Bet on Napoli’s individual total over 6.5 corners.

Prediction on yellow cards

“Lecce” will defend a lot, and doing so without fouls against the southerners' swift flanks is very difficult. Bet on the guests to win in yellow cards.

Prediction on score

Bet on the exact score of 3-1 in favour of “Napoli”.