Fiorentina - Atalanta BC predictions and free betting tips [03/04/2024]

On Wednesday 3 April, in the first leg of the Italian Cup semi-final, Fiorentina will welcome Atalanta at their home ground. The hosts have slowed down in the spring and have only won once in their last five matches, while the Bergamo side has not reached the final of the tournament since 2021 and is eager to please the tifosi with a long-awaited trophy. 

Fiorentina

Fiorentina last won the Italian Cup in 2001, and reached the final of the tournament last season. In the previous rounds of the current campaign, Vincenzo Italiano's charges had to work hard to overcome Parma, then Bologna, both at home, on penalties. Sitting 10th in the Serie A table, Tuscans risk missing out on the European zone. What's more, recently the hosts are in a bit of a crisis and have only won one of their last six league games. Drawing points with Torino (0:0) and Roma (2:2), the Florentines lost at home to Milan (1:2) last weekend. Duncan equalised on the scoreboard after Loftus Cheek's goal, but Rafael Leao put the Rossoneri back in front just three minutes later. 

In the Conference League, Fiorentina beat Maccabi Haifa (5:4 over two matches) in March and will face Viktoria Plzen in the quarter-finals. The hosts' squad is missing only reserve goalkeeper Kristensen, so the coaching staff can count on an optimal line-up. Playmaker Bonaventura (7 goals, 2 assists) was suspended last weekend, but will now return to the midfield. Winter newcomer Belotti will rightfully occupy his place in attack, despite the former Torino captain scoring just one goal in his first 10 starts for Die Viola. Argentine Nico González (7 goals, 2 assists) and compatriot Beltran (6 goals, 2 assists) will be in charge of the wing creativity, with the weekend's outstanding Duncan playing in midfield. 

Atalanta

Atalanta have won the Italian Cup only once (in 1963), but reached the final in 2019 and 2021. This year, La Dea started the tournament with a win over Sassuolo (3:1) and then created a surprise by beating Milan at San Siro (1:2). In the league, Gian Piero Gasperini's side are 6th in the table, with one game in hand and 7 points off the Champions League zone. Over the weekend, Bergamo achieved a comfortable 0:3 win over Napoli, putting an end to a four-game winless streak (2 draws, 2 losses). Alexey Miranchuk put the black-and-blues ahead on the 26th minute, and soon assisted Scamacca; in the second half, Koopmeiners finished off the intrigue with an accurate strike. It's important to note that Atalanta have only won once in their last five away bouts. 

In the Europa League, the visitors will take on Liverpool in the quarterfinals, having passed Sporting (3:2) previously. Belgian striker De Ketelaere (6 goals, 6 assists in the league) is injured; moreover, central defender Scalvini is also out, having been injured at the weekend. Dutch attacking midfielder Koopmeiners (11 goals, 3 assists) conducts Atalanta's game in the centre of the field and will certainly start on Wednesday; he will be supported by Alexey Miranchuk (3 goals, 4 assists) and Scamacca (7 goals, 3 assists), while Nigerian Lukman (8 goals, 3 assists) will be in charge of the wing creativity. 

Head-to-head

Mid-September saw Fiorentina beat Atalanta (3:2) at home in the first leg of the championship. It is worth mentioning that of the last six head-to-head meetings, the Bergamo side have only been successful once. 

Fiorentina - Atalanta match prediction

Fiorentina are not in the best shape, having won only once in their last five meetings in all competitions. On the contrary, Bergamo have had a productive March and are unbeaten in their last four games. The visitors have longed to please their tifosi with trophies, so the motivation for the upcoming duel abounds. I'd dare to bet that Atalanta will at least not lose this Wednesday.