AC Milan - Napoli predictions and free betting tips [11/02/2024]

On Sunday, 11th February, during the 24th tour of the Italian Serie A, Milan will host Napoli on home turf. While the 'Rossoneri', after triumphing over Frosinone, bolstered their position to third on the leader board, the visitors trail by three points from the European cup zone.

Predicted Line-ups

Milan: Maignan; Calabria, Kjaer, Gabbia, Hernandez; Bennacer, Adli; Pulisic, Loftus-Cheek, Leao; Giroud.
Napoli: Gollini; Ostigard, Rrahmani, Jesus; Di Lorenzo, Anguissa, Lobotka, Mazzocchi; Politano, Simeone, Kvaratskhelia.

Stadium

The clash will unfold in Milan at the San Siro Stadium.

Milan

While Milan fell swiftly this season from the contest for the championship title, the team under the charge of Stefano Pioli now stands firmly on Serie A's pedestal of honour. The Lombards occupy the third spot on the ranking table and lead by 11 points from the fifth standings, which denies them the right to participate in the Champions League. In the last 8 tours, the 'Rossoneri' have remained unbeaten, garnering 6 victories and playing to a draw twice. Having faced a setback in the home match against Bologna (2:2), the hosts last weekend scored a confident victory against Frosinone (2:3).

Furthermore, Olivier Giroud took his tally to 19 productive actions in 20 championship starting matches, setting a record for the French forward for a single season in the Serie A. After taking third place in their Champions League group, the team will play their first Europa League play-off match against Rennes next Thursday.

Napoli

Having clinched the Scudetto last season for the first time since 1990, Napoli hasn't been able to replicate this feat in the current campaign. Worse still, the current champions of Italy are far from securing their participation in the Champions League (they trail fourth place by 4 points). Walter Mazzarri, who succeeded Rudi Garcia at the end of November, is yet to break this negative trend.

The 'Azzurri' are undefeated in their last three tours (2 victories and 1 draw), but they narrowly defeated bottom-placed Verona last weekend (2:1) thanks to a late goal by Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. The fact that in the last four away matches starting from November, the team hasn't netted a single goal (the worst performance for the club since 1979) has been causing fans concern. Napoli will have to make do without their main goalkeeper Meret. 

Head-to-Head

The teams drew 2:2 in October with Giroud scoring a brace. Notably, Napoli hasn't bested the 'Rossoneri' in the last four games across all competitions.

Prediction for Milan vs. Napoli

Milan has picked up outstanding momentum over the past weeks, grinding down all adversaries in the national championship. The 'Rossoneri' are racking up an average of 2.5 points per game while Olivier Giroud is setting performance records. Napoli, without Osimhen, seems to be faltering, and hard-won victories over league outsiders should not be overrated. I am placing my bet on a victory for the home team tonight.

Over/Under Prediction

Milan boasts a lavish attacking line-up and is capable of cracking the crisis defence of the southerners at least twice.

Corners Prediction

Both teams consistently deliver around 5.5 corners per match and do not shy away from launching flank attacks. I expect at least 10 corners served by the teams in 90 minutes of play.

Yellow Cards Prediction

21 yellow cards were dealt in the previous three head-to-head matches involving these teams. A safe bet would be a total of more than 4.5 warnings.

Score Prediction

I am betting on an exact score of 2:0 in favour of Milan.