West Ham United - Luton Town predictions and free betting tips [11/05/2024]

On Saturday, May 11, as part of the 37th APL tour, West Ham will welcome Luton Town on their home ground. The Hatters are just three points off the safe 17th spot and are desperate for points collected, while the Hammers are finishing the season without any tournament tasks.

West Ham

It's official: less than a year after their triumph in the League of Conferences, David Moyes will leave the coaching bridge of the capital club at the end of the season, a consequence of the Hammer's results in this campaign. Having been knocked out of the Europa League quarter-finals by Leverkusen's Bayer, the Hammers haven't won in six straight matches in all competitions, suffering a triple defeat. Last weekend, West Ham were left in tatters by Chelsea at Stamford Bridge with a 5:0 score, where Palmer, Gallagher and Madueke killed off the derby intrigue after the first half, while Jackson bagged a brace afterwards.

The seventh place is the best Moyes' men can aim for, currently sitting ninth in the overall table and five points behind both Chelsea and Manchester United, having played a game more than both giants of the capital. It's worth noting that the hosts rank 13th overall for points collected at home (26 points in 18 home meetings, 28 goals scored, 27 conceded); furthermore, West Ham has only managed two home victories in 2024! 

Luton Town

Rob Edwards' men are doing everything they can to hang on in the top flight for another year. Last Friday, the Hatters drew with Everton (1:1) at Kenilworth Road thanks to a goal from Elijah Adebayo, ending their three-match losing streak. Holding the 18th spot in the league table with only two remaining games, the visitors would officially be relegated from the APL if Nottingham Forest defeats Chelsea at home and Luton fails to capture all three points in their match.

Another cause for pessimism among the blue and white faithful is the significantly worse goal difference compared against Forest (-29 vs -18), as well as their five-match winless run on the road in the Premier League. Moreover, Luton has only managed to collect a mere 10 points in 18 away matches throughout the entire season, conceding 45 goals (second-worst record in the division after Sheffield). 

Head-to-head record

The Hatters lost 1:2 to West Ham in early September, but they hadn't lost to West Ham in any of the previous three meetings.

West Ham vs Luton Town match prediction

West Ham has practically lost its chances to finish in the European spots and concludes the season without any tournament tasks, with an outgoing manager. Contrastingly, Luton, stuck at the bottom of the table, is battling for survival and must win at all costs on Saturday – otherwise, they'll have to come to terms with a demotion. Based on the current form of the Hammers, I'll risk betting on the underdog's handicap 1.

TO prediction

Luton will have to open up and push forward in hope of claiming all three points, and so the Hatters stand a good chance of at least getting a goal in London.

Corner prediction

With the supportive home crowd, West Ham will naturally take the initiative, and it makes sense to bet a win for the Hammers in terms of corner-kicks in the first half.

Yellow cards prediction

Luton players won't spare themselves in single contests and will fight for every ball, hence, I'll bet on a Luton victory in terms of yellow cards.

Score prediction

I'll bet on a precise score of 1:2 in favour of Luton.