On Saturday, 16 March, in the frame of the 29th round of the EPL, "Burnley" will host "Brentford". The past weekend saw the “Clarets” lose a two-goal advantage in their match against "West Ham" (2:2), while the “Bees” conceded a dramatic loss at the Emirates to “Arsenal” (2:1).
“Burnley”: Trafford; Assignon, O'Shea, Esteve, Taylor; Vitinho, Berge, Cullen, Odobert; Datro Fofana, Bruun Larsen.
"Brentford": Flekken; Zanka, Collins, Ajer; Roerslev, Janelt, Norgaard, Onyeka, Reguilon; Wissa, Toney.
19th in the league table of the Premier League and a massive 14 points following 28 rounds, “Burnley” struggle to secure their spot in the elite division. They hold no illusions about their odds to stay afloat (trailing 17th place Nottingham Forest by 10 points). Under the tutelage of Vincent Kompany, the team appears demoralised, without a win in the last 10 matches (3 draws and 7 defeats). After a streak of 4 losses, the Lancashire pulled off a draw with "West Ham" (2:2).
This draw was only the second instance in Burnley's history where they couldn't pull off a victory in a Premier League match, having had a two-goal lead at one point. It's essential to note that Kompany’s charges are the absolute worst Premier League team when playing on their home turf: with only 5 points secured in 14 rounds, having scored 13 goals and conceded 34.
"Brentford" currently stands 15th in the Premier League standings, just five points clear of the relegation zone. Thomas Frank's squad is precariously placed on the brink of relegation, and their current form understandably raises concerns. In the last eight rounds, they conceded only 6 goals, claimed a single victory and managed to pull off a draw once. It is, however, worth noting that the fixture list hasn't been kind to the "Bees," pitting them against the league’s heavyweights.
After a home draw against "Chelsea" (2:2), "Brentford" last weekend conceded a 2:1 loss at the Emirates to "Arsenal". Yoan Wissa capitalised on Ramsdale's mistake and fired into the far corner after a goal from Declan Rice, but Kai Havertz headed the winning goal on the 86th minute. The Londoners have conceded 13 goals in their last five league matches, gathering only 10 points in their 14 away games (the 15th indicator in the division).
The "Bees" haven't tasted victory on Burnley’s turf since the 1996-97 season, though they won the last two home encounters against the "Clarets" with an aggregate score of 5:0.
Despite all the failures “Burnley” have faced in front of their supporters, the hosts can realistically hope to collect points on Saturday, as "Brentford" has lost 10 consecutive away matches! Given the league status of the "Clarets", they have no choice but to press high and try to score against this embattled capital squad. With the "Bees" grappling with a slew of injuries and their defence leaving much to be desired – my wager is on a double chance for Kompany's charges.
With Fofana's arrival, "Burnley" has started to create more danger at their opponents' goal, whereas "Brentford" has conceded from anyone and everyone in recent weeks. I’m taking a gamble on the home team to score over 1 goal.
The hosts will try to seize the initiative at least occasionally – the support of the home stands obliges. I'm backing the "Clarets" ITU (individual total under) 3.5 corners.
In the first leg, both teams racked up a total of 9 yellow cards, consequently, I'm predicting a total card count of over 3.5.
I'm betting on a precise score of 2:1 in favour of "Burnley".
# | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | G | PTS | |
1 | Manchester City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9:2 | 9 | |
2 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7:0 | 9 | |
3 | Brighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:2 | 7 | |
4 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:1 | 7 | |
5 | Newcastle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:2 | 7 | |
6 | Brentford | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 | |
7 | Aston Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 6 | |
8 | Bournemouth | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 5 | |
9 | Nottingham | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 | |
10 | Tottenham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:3 | 4 | |
11 | Chelsea | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 4 | |
12 | Fulham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 | |
13 | West Ham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 4:5 | 3 | |
14 | Manchester Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 2:5 | 3 | |
15 | Leicester | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 3:5 | 1 | |
16 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 2:5 | 1 | |
17 | Ipswich | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 2:7 | 1 | |
18 | Wolves | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 3:9 | 1 | |
19 | Southampton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 1:5 | 0 | |
20 | Everton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 2:10 | 0 | |
1 | Newcastle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 | |
2 | Brentford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 | |
3 | Arsenal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 | |
4 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | |
5 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 | |
6 | Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 | |
7 | Tottenham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 | |
8 | Fulham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 | |
9 | Manchester Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 3 | |
10 | Nottingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 | |
11 | Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 | |
12 | Chelsea | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 1 | |
13 | Leicester | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 1 | |
14 | Ipswich | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 1 | |
15 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 | |
16 | West Ham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:5 | 0 | |
17 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 | |
18 | Wolves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:6 | 0 | |
19 | Southampton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 | |
20 | Everton | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:6 | 0 | |
1 | Manchester City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 | |
2 | Liverpool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 | |
3 | Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 | |
4 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 | |
5 | Bournemouth | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 | |
6 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 | |
7 | Nottingham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 | |
8 | Chelsea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 3 | |
9 | West Ham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 | |
10 | Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 | |
11 | Tottenham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 1 | |
12 | Fulham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 1 | |
13 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 1 | |
14 | Wolves | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 1 | |
15 | Brentford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 | |
16 | Manchester Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 | |
17 | Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 | |
18 | Ipswich | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 | |
19 | Southampton | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 | |
20 | Everton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
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