On Saturday, 2nd of March, within the scope of the 27th tour of the Premier League, Everton will host West Ham on their home turf. 'The Toffees' managed to reclaim points after a successful court appeal, whilst 'The Hammers' last week garnered their first victory of 2024 - against Brentford.
Everton: Pickford; Godfrey, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko; Harrison, Garner, Onana, McNeil; Doucoure; Calvert-Lewin.
West Ham: Areola; Coufal, Mavropanos, Zouma, Emerson; Soucek, Alvarez; Kudus, Ward-Prowse, Paqueta; Bowen.
The match will take place in Liverpool at the Goodison Park Stadium.
Everton was penalised 10 points last autumn for breaching Financial Fair Play rules, but the penalty was reduced to 6 points after a successful appeal. Hence, The Toffees have moved up to 15th place in the Premier League standings, distancing themselves from the relegation zone by five points. Nonetheless, there's still a long battle ahead to secure their elite status, especially given the current lacklustre performance: in the last 9 rounds, Everton hasn't managed a single victory (with 5 draws and 4 losses).
After defeating Manchester City 2:0, they settled for a draw with Crystal Palace (1:1) and Brighton last weekend (1:1): Jarrad Branthwaite scored a spectacular goal, but Lewis Dunk restored parity on the scoreboard in stoppage time. It's notable that The Blues have struggled at Goodison Park, collecting just 13 points from 13 rounds, scoring 14 goals and conceding 15.
West Ham currently sits at the 8th spot in the Premier League standings, sharing the same number of points with 7th placed Brighton. Unfortunately for the team's supporters, West Ham has been struggling to achieve significant success in recent weeks. However, last Monday 'The Hammers' bagged their first victory of 2024, demolishing Brentford (4:2). Jarrod Bowen became the first West Ham player to score a hat-trick in the Premier League at London Stadium, and Emerson Palmieri's accurate 25-metre strike effectively negated the efforts of Neal Maupay and Yoane Wissa.
Thus, David Moyes' players put an end to a series of 6 league games without a win (with 3 draws and 3 losses). It's notable that 'The Hammers' have been winless in their last four away matches, failing to score in three of those matches... On the following Thursday, West Ham will head to Freiburg to compete in the ⅛ finals of the Europa League, as they have been eliminated from all the national cups.
David Moyes's mentees are longing to avenge their 0:1 loss to Everton at the London Stadium in October. Meanwhile, The Toffees haven't managed to defeat West Ham twice in a season since the 2014-15 campaign.
None of the last eight face-to-face matches between Everton and West Ham resulted in a draw, but I would take the risk of betting on such an outcome this Saturday. The thing is that both teams haven't had the best winter season, and a back-to-fit Paqueta isn't going to serve as a silver bullet for The Hammers' attacking crisis. Moreover, four out of the last five matches involving ‘The Toffees' ended in a draw - and I predict the same outcome this time around.
None of the last three head-to-head matches ended with both teams scoring. Everton in general concedes few goals at home, so I confidently bet on the total goals being under 3.
West Ham only gets about 4 corners per game, 'The Toffees' about 4.6. I don't expect open play here, so I bet on the total corners being under 9.5.
Although Everton has secured a small lead from the relegation zone, they haven't yet guaranteed their stay in the elite league. The hosts won't hold back in one-on-one battles and will earn at least three warnings.
I'm placing bets on an exact score of 0:0.
# | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | G | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 26:8 | 34 | |
2 | Arsenal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 26:14 | 25 | |
3 | Chelsea | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 26:14 | 25 | |
4 | Brighton | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22:17 | 23 | |
5 | Manchester City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 22:19 | 23 | |
6 | Nottingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | 22 | |
7 | Tottenham | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 28:14 | 20 | |
8 | Brentford | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 26:23 | 20 | |
9 | Manchester Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:13 | 19 | |
10 | Fulham | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 18:18 | 19 | |
11 | Newcastle | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14:14 | 19 | |
12 | Aston Villa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 19:22 | 19 | |
13 | Bournemouth | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 20:19 | 18 | |
14 | West Ham | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 17:24 | 15 | |
15 | Everton | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 10:21 | 11 | |
16 | Leicester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 16:27 | 10 | |
17 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 11:18 | 9 | |
18 | Wolves | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 22:32 | 9 | |
19 | Ipswich | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -11 | 13:24 | 9 | |
20 | Southampton | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -15 | 10:25 | 5 | |
1 | Brentford | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:12 | 19 | |
2 | Liverpool | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 18 | |
3 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:6 | 14 | |
4 | Brighton | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:9 | 13 | |
5 | Manchester City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12:10 | 13 | |
6 | Tottenham | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17:7 | 13 | |
7 | Manchester Utd | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11:8 | 13 | |
8 | Chelsea | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:8 | 12 | |
9 | Nottingham | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 11 | |
10 | Fulham | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:11 | 10 | |
11 | Newcastle | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 10 | |
12 | Bournemouth | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9:6 | 10 | |
13 | Aston Villa | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:8 | 9 | |
14 | West Ham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10:15 | 7 | |
15 | Everton | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5:8 | 6 | |
16 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4:8 | 6 | |
17 | Leicester | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:9 | 5 | |
18 | Wolves | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 11:18 | 4 | |
19 | Ipswich | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5:9 | 4 | |
20 | Southampton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6:11 | 4 | |
1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 16 | |
2 | Chelsea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:6 | 13 | |
3 | Arsenal | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:8 | 11 | |
4 | Nottingham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:7 | 11 | |
5 | Brighton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:8 | 10 | |
6 | Manchester City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10:9 | 10 | |
7 | Aston Villa | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10:14 | 10 | |
8 | Fulham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:7 | 9 | |
9 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:9 | 9 | |
10 | Bournemouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:13 | 8 | |
11 | West Ham | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:9 | 8 | |
12 | Tottenham | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11:7 | 7 | |
13 | Manchester Utd | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 6 | |
14 | Everton | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5:13 | 5 | |
15 | Leicester | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10:18 | 5 | |
16 | Wolves | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:14 | 5 | |
17 | Ipswich | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:15 | 5 | |
18 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:10 | 3 | |
19 | Brentford | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4:11 | 1 | |
20 | Southampton | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 4:14 | 1 |
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