On Friday, 28 June, at GMT time, São Paulo will host Criciúma in the 12th round of the Brazilian Serie A. The Tigers have won their last two matches and will aim to register three consecutive victories for the first time since February. Meanwhile, the home team has been unable to secure three points in their last four matches.
The match will take place in São Paulo at the Do Morumbi stadium.
São Paulo is in a crisis: they have not won a match in their last four rounds, suffering two consecutive defeats. They lost 1-0 against Cuiabá at home and surprisingly fell 4-1 to Vasco da Gama last weekend. After taking an early lead through Andre Silva in the 10th minute, they conceded goals to Guilherme Estrella, Leandrinho, and David. Prior to these setbacks, they drew 0-0 with Internacional and 2-2 with Corinthians, having remained unbeaten since their 2-1 loss to Flamengo on 18 April. Luis Subeldía's side is currently 12th in the table with only seven points from five home matches, scoring five and conceding four.
Criciúma is positioned 13th in the league table, aiming to maintain their status in the top division after recent promotion. In mid-June, the Tigers ended a dismal run of four matches without a win, including three straight defeats to Palmeiras (2-1), Cuiabá (5-2), and Atletico Paranaense (3-1). They emerged victorious in their last two games against Atletico Goianiense away (2-1) and Botafogo at home (2-1) last weekend. They occupy a commendable eighth place in points earned on the road (seven in four away games, scoring eight and conceding five). Despite their recent attacking prowess, scoring nine goals in their last five rounds, they conceded 12 during that span and have not kept a clean sheet since their 4-0 victory over Vasco da Gama in late April.
São Paulo has gone four rounds without a win and urgently needs to rehabilitate in front of their fans. They have fallen significantly behind the top four, putting their Copa Libertadores prospects at risk next year. Criciúma, despite recovering from a poor start, still struggles defensively. I predict a victory for the red and blacks with the support of home fans.
Criciúma has conceded 12 goals in their last five matches and is unlikely to withstand the motivated São Paulo. I am betting on ITO (individual total over) 1.5 goals for the home team.
# | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | G | PTS | |
1 | Botafogo | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 43:24 | 50 | |
2 | Fortaleza | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 30:22 | 48 | |
3 | Palmeiras | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 38:19 | 47 | |
4 | Flamengo | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 39:28 | 44 | |
5 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 | |
6 | Sao Paulo | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 33:26 | 41 | |
7 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 39 | |
8 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | -5 | 29:34 | 34 | |
9 | Atletico Mineiro | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | -1 | 32:33 | 33 | |
10 | Internacional | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 22:19 | 32 | |
11 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -1 | 29:30 | 30 | |
12 | Athletico Paranaense | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -2 | 26:28 | 29 | |
13 | Juventude | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29:35 | 29 | |
14 | Criciuma | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 32:35 | 28 | |
15 | Gremio | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | -5 | 23:28 | 27 | |
16 | Fluminense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -6 | 20:26 | 27 | |
17 | Corinthians | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -9 | 22:31 | 25 | |
18 | Vitoria | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | -13 | 26:39 | 22 | |
19 | Cuiaba | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 23:35 | 22 | |
20 | Atletico Goianiense | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -19 | 21:40 | 18 | |
1 | Fortaleza | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:6 | 33 | |
2 | Cruzeiro | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23:8 | 29 | |
3 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19:9 | 29 | |
4 | Botafogo | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22:9 | 28 | |
5 | Palmeiras | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 23:9 | 28 | |
6 | Flamengo | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19:12 | 26 | |
7 | Bahia | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17:7 | 26 | |
8 | Vasco da Gama | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20:17 | 24 | |
9 | RB Bragantino | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16:11 | 22 | |
10 | Juventude | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18:11 | 22 | |
11 | Corinthians | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17:12 | 19 | |
12 | Criciuma | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17:18 | 18 | |
13 | Atletico Mineiro | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:17 | 17 | |
14 | Fluminense | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:11 | 17 | |
15 | Internacional | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:10 | 16 | |
16 | Gremio | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 12:14 | 16 | |
17 | Athletico Paranaense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 14:14 | 14 | |
18 | Vitoria | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 15:19 | 14 | |
19 | Cuiaba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 11:16 | 10 | |
20 | Atletico Goianiense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 11:20 | 9 | |
1 | Botafogo | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 21:15 | 22 | |
2 | Palmeiras | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:10 | 19 | |
3 | Flamengo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 20:16 | 18 | |
4 | Atletico Mineiro | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16:16 | 16 | |
5 | Internacional | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:9 | 16 | |
6 | Fortaleza | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:16 | 15 | |
7 | Athletico Paranaense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:14 | 15 | |
8 | Bahia | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 17:20 | 13 | |
9 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 11:18 | 12 | |
10 | Sao Paulo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 14:17 | 12 | |
11 | Cuiaba | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:19 | 12 | |
12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11:14 | 11 | |
13 | Vasco da Gama | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9:17 | 10 | |
14 | Criciuma | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 15:17 | 10 | |
15 | Fluminense | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 7:15 | 10 | |
16 | Atletico Goianiense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 10:20 | 9 | |
17 | RB Bragantino | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 13:19 | 8 | |
18 | Vitoria | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 11:20 | 8 | |
19 | Juventude | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 11:24 | 7 | |
20 | Corinthians | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 5:19 | 6 |
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