Gagarin Cup 2024, KHL playoffs semi-final. The series is tied 1:1. We're looking at the third game of the second semi-final series and the continuation of the "Ural derby". After the second game, the series is deadlocked and it could potentially stretch out to seven meetings. Avtomobilist from Yekaterinburg will be playing against Metallurg from Magnitogorsk.
The main strength of Avtomobilist is their away games and their powerplay. They excelled in their second match, capitalising on their powerplay opportunities. If they carry on like this, Avtomobilist has a better-than-average shot at winning the series because, when operating at even strength, the opposition team has the upper hand. Avtomobilist has had more success on the road in these playoffs - with a 7-1 record compared to a 2-2 record at home. It will be very interesting to see how they perform on their home ice, having the chance to turn the series in their favour.
On the other hand, Metallurg seems to be a different team in these play-offs compared to the regular KHL season. The highest-scoring team in the East is resorting to a defensive mindset, only becoming aggressive when they fall behind on the scoreboard. In the upcoming away games, Metallurg will likely need to rely even more heavily on defence. It's also noteworthy to mention that they're now facing a goaltender who can really challenge them, something they haven't encountered this post-season.
Avtomobilist and Metallurg have faced each other 75 times. Metallurg has walked away victorious in 46 games, while Avtomobilist has claimed 27 victories. In this regular season, Metallurg won thrice - 4:2, 4:0 and 2:1 in shootouts. Avtomobilist claimed one victory - 3:2 in overtime. In the first game of this series, Metallurg won 2:1. The second game was won by Avtomobilist - 4:2.
I'll still favour the team from Yekaterinburg, as they are likely to claim at least their first home game.
When it comes to the total, I'd suggest placing a bet on ITO1 (2.5). Even though, admittedly, there's no absolute certainty about this one.
Comments0