Betting Strategies
02.05.2023, 10:04
22.05.2024, 06:36

How to Analyze Basketball Totals: A Comprehensive Guide

In basketball, each team scores a significant number of points, which makes it challenging to predict the exact score. This unpredictability is why betting on the total score in basketball is so popular. This guide will provide an overview of total betting in basketball, including how to calculate it and effective strategies for placing successful bets on this outcome.

Understanding the Concept and Strategy

Basketball totals refer to the sum of points earned by one or both teams during a game. Bettors can place wagers on whether the total will be over or under a specific value, such as Over 200 or Under 200. For this type of bet to succeed, teams must score more than 200 points or fewer than 200 points. If the game's total score is 200 sharp, all bets placed on the total would be a push, and the bettors would receive their original wager back. There are several types of basketball total bets, including:

  • Total for both teams
  • Total for one team
  • Total for a specific player

These totals can be calculated for the entire game, quarter, or half, including or excluding overtime.

Understanding the Concept and Strategy

How to Accurately Calculate Basketball Totals

To calculate the total in basketball as accurately as possible, you need to follow a simple micro-strategy:

  1. Choose a basketball game from the bookmaker's line.
  2. Review the results of the last five home games for the home team and the away games for the away team.
  3. Divide the total points scored by each team by the number of games (5) and round the result using basic mathematical rules.
  4. Add one point for each team win and subtract one and a half points for each loss of the opponents.
  5. Add 3 points to the total of the home team.
  6. Finally, add the values of both teams to obtain the most probable total score for the game.
  7. Following these steps, you can calculate the basketball total more accurately and make informed decisions when placing bets.

To make an accurate prediction, you should consider factors such as the player's previous performance, the team's strategy, and the opposing team's defence. By doing so, you can make informed decisions when betting on individual totals and increase your overall profitability in basketball betting.

Effective Betting Strategies for Basketball Totals

Effective betting strategies for totals in basketball increase the probability of winning such bets. All these systems are based on chasing, increasing the amount of the next bet after the previous one. The most popular strategies are:

Using the Quarter Totals System for Effective Basketball Betting

The quarter totals system is a simple yet effective strategy for betting on basketball totals. It involves calculating the average total score for both teams in a quarter and placing a bet on the over. In case of a loss, the bettor should make a similar bet on the next quarter but with a 2.5 times larger wager size.

This system has shown high efficiency in the long run, provided that the average total is calculated accurately. By following this strategy, bettors can increase their profits and make more informed decisions when betting on basketball totals.

Using Individual Totals for Effective Basketball Betting

One effective strategy for betting on basketball totals involves analysing the game of key team players, their motivation, and statistics to identify winning opportunities for individual totals. By carefully studying the performance of star players and their matchups, bettors can place informed wagers on individual totals with a higher likelihood of success.

To implement this strategy, bettors should first identify the key players and study their totals in previous games. They can then calculate the average individual total for each player and compare it to the over/under line set by the bookmaker.

Bettors can then place bets on the over/under for the individual total of a key player using the chasing system. With this system, if the bet is unsuccessful, the bettor should double their wager on the next game until they win. This approach can lead to higher profits over time but also requires careful analysis and research.

By following this strategy and using the chasing system, bettors can place successful bets on individual totals and increase their overall profitability in basketball betting.

Effective Betting Strategies for Basketball Totals

If the first bet is unsuccessful, the chasing system involves placing a new, larger bet to cover the losses from the previous failure and generate a profit. 

Analysing Total in Live after the First Half of a Basketball Game

To use this strategy, bettors must calculate the weighted average total before the match and watch the first half of the game. They should then place a bet on the over if the current total is less than the weighted average value before the match or on the under if the current total exceeds the weighted average value.

By following this approach, bettors can make informed wagers on basketball totals based on first-half performance and the weighted average total.

However, it's important to note that this strategy requires careful analysis and research, and success is not guaranteed. Bettors should always be mindful of the risks involved in live betting and bet responsibly.

This basketball total strategy is most effective when the deviation from pre-match values is 10-15%.

Using Odd-Even Betting Strategy in Basketball

To use this strategy, bettors should first examine the history of the two teams playing and determine whether they tend to score an odd or even number of points. For example, if both teams tend to score an even number of points, the bettor should wager on the over for an odd total.

The key to this strategy is to research the scoring patterns of the teams involved and identify trends that can be exploited. By carefully analysing the teams' history and performance, bettors can make informed wagers that give them an edge.

Everyday Tips for Betting on Basketball Totals

  1. Analyse basketball games thoroughly before placing bets on totals. Calculate the most probable values and evaluate the teams' performance and statistics.
  2. Stay up-to-date with the latest news on team lineups and consider the odds movement on the day of the match. This will give you a better understanding of the teams' performance and help you make informed decisions.
  3. Stick to strict financial management rules and avoid betting a significant percentage of your bankroll on a single bet. This will help you minimise your losses and manage your funds effectively.
  4. Use total betting strategies only if you have an impressive bankroll, as they often involve risky chasing. While these strategies can be effective, they are unsuitable for beginners or those with limited funds.

Tip from VP-Bet Team

By choosing popular and competitive basketball leagues (NBA, Euroleague) with high-scoring teams and fair play, you can increase your chances of success when betting on totals.


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