Betting Strategies
22.05.2023, 09:32
28.05.2024, 14:10
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Game-Changer: Insider Strategies for Successful CS:GO Betting

Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (CS:GO) is a popular multiplayer shooter where gamers play as either terrorists or counter-terrorists and engage in battles against each other. CS:GO hosts numerous regional and global tournaments every year. Fans of esports betting place wagers on CS:GO matches, and to maximise their profits, they employ various CS:GO betting strategies.

Game-Changer: Insider Strategies for Successful CS:GO Betting

Betting on the Underdog

Counter-Strike is an unpredictable game where underdogs often emerge victorious. Bookmakers offer high odds on the wins of weaker sides, making bets on underdogs profitable in the long run.

Experienced players do not recommend betting on weak teams in every CS:GO match.

The betting strategy on underdogs has a high chance of winning in games where:

  • The favourite could be in better form, while the opponent has had successful recent matches.
  • The upcoming match is of minor tournament importance for the strong side.
  • The favourite is playing without one, two, or several key players, while the underdog performs with an optimal lineup.
  • The strong team struggles on specific maps, while the weak team shows positive results in most locations.
  • The lower the level of the tournament competition, the higher the probability of an unexpected outcome – a victory for the weaker opponent.

For pre-match analysis, it is advisable to utilise services with team ratings, statistics, and recent results, such as HLTV.

Placing bets on the underdog in CS:GO can be done with odds starting from 2.50. The success rate of underdog bets over the long term may be below 50%, but due to the higher odds, bettors can still achieve profitability in the long run.

Betting on the Winner of a Map

In CS:GO matches, specifically in Best of 3 (Bo3) and Best of 5 (Bo5) formats, it is possible to bet on the winners of individual maps. It is advisable to place such bets in live mode when the teams have already selected their respective map choices.

Betting on the Winner of a Map

Before selecting the maps, it is crucial to analyse the team compositions, and players' tactics, identify their preferred and less favoured map choices, and examine the opponents' performance on specific maps.

Cyber sports statistics services provide valuable information, displaying the win percentage of CS:GO teams on different maps from the map pool. These statistics can assist bettors in making informed decisions.

Once the opponents have selected their maps for an upcoming match, it is possible to place bets on a team's victory on their best map.

On their favoured maps, favourites tend to win most of the time. It is considered risky to bet on an underdog's victory, even on their best map. However, an exception can be made for matches involving a promising underdog and a favourite currently not in their best form.

Betting on Map Handicap

In CS:GO matches in the Best of 3 (Bo3) format, you can place bets on a team's victory with a handicap of (-1.5) or (+1.5). Bookmakers offer a negative handicap for the stronger team and a positive handicap for the weaker team.

Betting on Map Handicap

A bet on a negative handicap will be successful if the favourite wins with a score of 2:0. A bet on a positive handicap will be profitable if the trailing team wins or loses with a score of 1:2.

Matches with a clear favourite and underdog are suitable for bets on a negative handicap, with the coefficient for the victory of the stronger team not exceeding 1.20-1.30.

It is advisable to place bets on a positive handicap in matches between evenly-matched opponents or with a slight advantage for one side.

Martingale Betting Strategy on CS:GO

The "Martingale" strategy is a simple betting strategy applicable in both esports and traditional sports.

According to this strategy, bettors place bets on a single outcome, and in the event of a loss, they increase the amount of the next bet. It is essential to calculate the bet amounts so that the winnings compensate for previous losses and generate profit.

Martingale Betting Strategy on CS:GO

In CS:GO, the "Martingale" strategy can be used for betting on round or map totals, team victories on specific maps, the underdog wins, and other outcomes.

Please note that while the "Martingale" strategy can be enticing, it carries risks, especially if there is a long losing streak, or the bettor's bankroll is limited. It is essential to exercise caution and set realistic betting limits to manage potential losses effectively.

The classic variation of the "Martingale" strategy in CS:GO involves betting on over or under-round totals such as 26.5/25.5, with odds ranging from 1.80 to 2.00. In this strategy, the bet amount is doubled after a loss.

It is essential to analyse the teams' statistics to determine whether to bet on over or under. If the teams have frequently exceeded the higher total in most of their recent matches, it is advisable to bet on the over (TB). Conversely, if they have mostly fallen below the total, it is recommended to bet on the under (TM).

However, it is crucial to exercise caution when using the "Martingale" strategy and to set betting limits to manage potential losses effectively. This strategy carries inherent risks, and a long losing streak can lead to significant financial losses if not managed carefully.

Flat CS:GO Betting Strategy

The "Flat" strategy is a basic betting strategy used in both esports and traditional sports, where bettors place bets ranging from 1% to 5% of their bankroll. The percentage of the bet depends on the likelihood of the selected outcome and the bettor's expectations.

Flat CS:GO Betting Strategy

There are four variations of the "Flat" strategy:

  • Academic: Bets range from 1% to 3% of the bankroll based on the bettor's recent results. With many successful bets, one can increase the bet size to 3% of the bankroll.
  • Static: Bets remain at a constant 1% of the bankroll throughout, regardless of the bettor's results.
  • Aggressive: Bets range from 2% to 3% of the bankroll for the entire duration without considering the bettor's results.
  • Chaotic: Bets range from 5% to 15% of the bankroll with odds of at least 1.50.

For novice CS:GO players, it is recommended to use the academic or static variation of the "Flat" strategy. Experienced bettors can choose the aggressive or chaotic variations based on their preferences and risk tolerance.

Tips for betting on Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (CS:GO)

The experts at VP-Bet have prepared some tips for placing bets on Counter-Strike: Global Offensive:

  • Conduct a detailed analysis of the selected teams, including their overall team and individual player ratings, recent results, best and worst maps, and average total match scores.
  • Watch esports streams when placing live bets to assess the ongoing battle better and gain valuable insights.
  • Take into account the emotional and physical condition of the players. For example, American and European esports athletes may find it challenging to adjust to different time zones during tournaments in Asia.
  • Monitor changes in team lineups, as they can have an impact on the course of the match.
  • Implement proper bankroll management strategies to manage your betting budget effectively.
  • Consider the opponents' motivation and the match's significance for each team.
  • Play CS:GO competitively yourself to gain a better understanding of the game's dynamics, tournament locations, and gameplay intricacies.
  • Read expert predictions and consider the opinions of analysts when making your bets.

FAQ

How important is it to the research team and player statistics before placing CS:GO bets?

 Researching team and player statistics is crucial in CS:GO betting as it helps you understand teams' performance levels, individual player strengths, and weaknesses. This knowledge allows you to make more informed betting decisions based on data and increase your chances of success.

Should I focus on specific tournaments or teams when betting on CS:GO?

It can be beneficial to focus on specific tournaments or teams in CS:GO betting. You can better understand their gameplay, strategies, and consistency by specialising in certain events or teams. This specialisation can give you an edge in identifying value bets and making accurate predictions.

What role does map selection play in CS:GO betting?

Map selection is a critical factor in CS:GO betting. Different teams have varying strengths on specific maps, and understanding these dynamics can help you anticipate the outcome of matches. Analyse teams' map preferences, win rates on different maps, and their performance on maps that will be played in upcoming matches.

Is it advisable to bet on underdog teams in CS:GO?

Betting on underdog teams in CS:GO can be a viable strategy if you identify favourable conditions. Evaluate recent form, player roster changes, and maps to assess if the underdog has a realistic chance of winning. If successful, betting on underdogs can provide higher odds and potential for greater profits.

How can I effectively manage my bankroll in CS:GO betting?

Bankroll management is crucial in CS:GO betting to ensure long-term sustainability. Set a budget for your bets and avoid wagering over a certain percentage of your bankroll on a single bet. Consider using a staking plan, such as the Kelly Criterion, to determine appropriate bet sizes based on your confidence level in the outcome.

What are some red flags to watch out for when considering CS:GO bets?

It's essential to watch out for red flags indicating a risky bet in CS:GO. These include last-minute player substitutions, internal team issues, excessive schedule fatigue, or significant changes in team performance. Stay updated with news and announcements to avoid placing bets on matches with uncertain or unfavourable conditions.

Should I consider live betting in CS:GO?

Live betting in CS:GO can offer opportunities to adapt your strategy based on in-game developments. Monitor matches closely and looks for good moments, such as comeback potential or a team gaining momentum. However, be cautious with live betting as odds can change rapidly, requiring quick decision-making and a solid understanding of the game.

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