Iga Swiatek - Jasmine Paolini predictions and free betting tips [08/06/2024]

Iga Świątek and Jasmine Paolini to Compete for the Roland Garros Trophy in the Women's Draw.

Italian tennis player Jasmine Paolini has surprised everyone at this tournament, defeating several strong opponents along the way in this clay-court Grand Slam. Paolini has displayed solid and balanced tennis in France. Świątek has been impressive, especially after winning two clay-court Masters titles, which could have affected her physical condition. However, it seems the Polish tennis player is tireless and ready to play without a break.

Iga Świątek

Świątek is remarkable, performing well regardless of the surface, as long as she can play tennis that is both attacking and measured.

This season, Iga has won four titles (two on clay and two on hard courts). Although the tournament in Melbourne didn’t go as planned, Świątek won the Indian Wells Masters. On clay, the Polish tennis player won two "thousand" tournaments, both times defeating Aryna Sabalenka in the final.

At Roland Garros, the only match where Świątek could have lost was against Naomi Osaka. Osaka was on the verge of victory, leading 5-2 in the third set but eventually lost 5-7, essentially gifting Świątek a place in the third round. In other matches at Roland Garros, the Polish tennis player performed excellently, with even Coco Gauff unable to win a set against her.

In the battle for the French title, Iga needs to deliver a standard match against Jasmine Paolini to win on merit. Yes, the Italian tennis player has shown good form in this tournament, but Świątek is stronger, and this is evident. Iga will skillfully spread the balls around the court, and her task is to play proactively so that Paolini has to defend and has fewer opportunities for counterattacks. Świątek should also minimise unforced errors, effectively handling all the spun balls from Jasmine, who will undoubtedly use a lot of spin and even serve in a difficult clay style.

Jasmine Paolini

Paolini has shown precise and balanced tennis in Paris. She always performs well on clay, reaching the final match for a clay-court WTA trophy three times last season, twice in Italy, winning only one in Florence by defeating Townsend. Additionally, the Italian tennis player almost won a hard court tournament in Monastir, losing in the final to Elise Mertens. In Cincinnati, at the hard court Masters, she performed well, winning two matches in qualifying and three in the main draw, but couldn’t get past Coco Gauff in the quarter-finals.

This season, Paolini won a hard court tournament in Dubai, where she was fortunate not to face Elena Rybakina in the quarter-finals due to her withdrawal. Nonetheless, Paolini faced strong opponents and played a tough final against Anna Kalinskaya, losing the first set but winning the next two 7-5.

Before Roland Garros, Paolini had a mediocre performance in Stuttgart on clay, failed to defeat Mirra Andreeva at the Madrid Masters, and lost in the first round in Rome to Sherif.

In Paris, it seemed Paolini would be lucky to reach the second or third round, but she confidently passed two easy opponents, then faced less reliable players, including Elena Rybakina. In the semi-finals, she was again fortunate to play against Mirra Andreeva instead of Aryna Sabalenka, securing another win with pragmatic clay-court tennis. Paolini has looked smart at Roland Garros, despite some lapses, and deservedly reached the final match for the trophy.

The match against Iga Świątek will be extremely challenging, as Świątek will be comfortable with Paolini's defensive style. If the Italian cannot skillfully place uncomfortable balls for attacking her opponent and loses in the serve battle, she might win a maximum of five games in this match.

Head-to-Head

The players have met on a clay-court futures event in Prague, where Świątek easily defeated Paolini, and at the US Open, where the Polish player lost only three games in the match.

Prediction for the Match: Iga Świątek vs Jasmine Paolini

Świątek is in excellent form, even though it’s a bit more challenging to play throughout Roland Garros after winning two Masters. The Italian player has performed well in Paris, but Paolini does not pose a significant threat to Iga. I predict under 17.5 games, with Świątek likely to win this match comfortably.