The men's 1/32 finals at Roland-Garros are lined with exciting matches. For instance, Fabian Marozsan will take on Grigor Dimitrov. These tennis players have never faced each other before, but it's clear that the Bulgarian starts as the favourite, while the Hungarian will strive to prove otherwise.
Marozsan is trying to succeed everywhere, but as the old saying goes, one who chases two rabbits catches neither. Unfortunately, this Hungarian tennis player can't quite find his place. While Challenger tournaments seem beneath him, it appears he transitioned from lower-level tournaments to main competitions too quickly.
Last year, Marozsan achieved his first victory over a top tennis player at the Rome Masters by surpassing Carlos Alcaraz, only to lose to Borna Coric. Fabian's impressive play continued in Challenger clay court tournaments, and after the US Open during the Asian tour, the Hungarian reached the quarterfinals of the 1,000-point tournament in Shanghai on hard court. This underscored Marozsan's aim to compete exclusively in prestigious tournaments, as he could still win Challengers, but they no longer fit his current schedule.
This year, Fabian's performance has been average, but he's started to succeed on hard courts, which used to be a weakness. In Melbourne, he advanced two rounds, won three matches at the Indian Wells Masters, and went as far as the quarterfinals in the Miami Masters (1,000), where he lost to Alexander Zverev.
Before the Parisian tournament, Marozsan struggled on clay, but in the first round of Roland-Garros, he effortlessly defeated Mikhail Kukushkin. Despite some issues in his own serves, Marozsan's opponent appeared weaker, resulting in a smooth victory in three sets. Fortuitously, he faced Kukushkin in his opening match on the clay Grand Slam rather than a stronger clay-court specialist, which would have posed a tougher challenge for Marozsan.
The match against Dimitrov promises riveting rallies, but Marozsan must build his game around his serve. Grigor holds his serve games well, and any technical flaws in this area from the Hungarian could cost him the match.
Dimitrov has evolved into a professional-calibre player. Previously, his presence at major tournaments was solely to maintain a good ranking, without much concern for trophies.
Last year, Grigor started contending for titles, reaching the final of the Geneva clay tournament and becoming a title challenger in many events. He reached the semifinals in Shanghai, where he lost to Andrey Rublev, and contended for the trophy at the Paris Masters, ultimately losing to his friend Novak Djokovic.
This year, for the first time since 2017, Dimitrov clinched a trophy by defeating Holger Rune in the Brisbane final. A mediocre result in Melbourne followed, but he then reached another final at the indoor tournament in Marseille, where he lost to France's Hugo in a thrilling contest. In Miami, many expected Grigor to win a major trophy, but Jannik Sinner's excellent form saw him beat Dimitrov in straight sets, despite the Bulgarian overcoming several strong opponents to reach the final.
Dimitrov has shown decent form in this season’s clay tournaments, although well-prepared opponents have bettered him, including Jakub Mensik in Madrid. In the first round of Roland-Garros, the Bulgarian comfortably defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 3-0, notwithstanding minor serving issues, showcasing his class.
Against Marozsan, Dimitrov needs to play intelligent attacking tennis, minimising mistakes in combination play with net approaches and drop shots. Marozsan could take a set, but it’s crucial that the Hungarian doesn't outplay Dimitrov in the first set.
I'm betting on a tiebreak occurring in this match and total over by games. Dimitrov always aims to control games with his serve, and Marozsan will likely mirror this tactic, focusing on his own serves throughout the match.
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