On Thursday, 8 February, as part of the Portuguese Cup quarter-finals, Vitoria Guimaraes will host Gil Vicente. The winner of this match will meet the strongest in the pair Santa Clara - Porto in the next round.
The match will take place in Guimaraes at the Alfonso Henriques Stadium.
Vitoria has won the Portuguese Cup only once in its history (in 2013), and given the latest results of the black-and-whites, it is likely that they will try to raise this trophy again in the current campaign. Indeed, in their last 11 matches in all competitions, the hosts have only lost once, winning eight times and drawing twice. Incidentally, the defeat happened from... Gil Vicente a few days ago (1:0). Last weekend, after defeating Vizela (0:1) in the championship, the "conquerors" approached one point to Braga (4th place) and still hope to get into the European Cups.
In previous rounds of the Cup, Vitoria beat Moncarapachense 3:1, then defeated Vilaverdense 4:1 and last month dealt with a 1:0 win over Penafiel. It is important to note that the black-and-whites can boast a great home reputation, having won six consecutive matches in all competitions on their field, and in the previous ten championship matches at home, they have only failed twice.
Gil Vicente struggled at the start of their domestic campaign, but is regaining former conditions week by week, although still not up to the level of their upcoming opponent. After a 3:0 loss to Benfica last weekend, the visitors occupy only 10th place in the Portuguese championship, 17 points behind Vitoria. The setback happened after three matches without defeat in the national championship, including two wins - over Portimonense (0:2) and Guimaraes (1:0).
The best result for the red-and-blues was to reach the semi-finals of the country's cup in 2016, and in previous rounds of the current tournament, the visitors passed Belenenses with a score of 2:1, triumphed over Serpa (1:0) and Amarante (3:1) last month. However, Gil Vicente's away results this campaign are very poor: the team has only won one of their last 10 matches away from home.
The teams have already met twice this season and have each secured a victory in the championship (Vitoria 2:1 and Gil Vicente 1:0 less than two weeks ago).
Currently 5th in the championship and just one point away from the European Cup zone, Vitoria is eager to make amends to their fans for their recent defeat to Gil Vicente in late January. Moreover, the black-and-whites have been almost impeccable at home and have a winning streak of six games in a row here. The visitors are significantly inferior to the opponent in terms of squad selection and have had poor away games - I expect the favourite to win.
In 10 home matches in the championship, the hosts have scored 23 goals (only leading Benfica scored more). I bet on the individual total of the favourite over 1.5 goals.
Vitoria surpasses the rival in class and will play at their home field. The black-and-whites will surpass the opponent on all key indicators, including corners (handicap -1.5).
Neither side is known for their rough play this campaign (an average of only 2 yellow cards per game). I bet on the total of warnings under 4.5.
I bet on a precise score of 2:0 in favour of Vitoria
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