AC Milan - Salernitana predictions and free betting tips [25/05/2024]

On Saturday, 25 May, in the 38th round of Serie A, AC Milan will host Salernitana. Two years after winning the title, Stefano Pioli is set to bid farewell to San Siro, while the visitors have long been rooted at the bottom of the table and are eager to forget this season.

Stadium

The match will take place at San Siro in Milan.

AC Milan

Although AC Milan was quickly out of the Scudetto race this season, the club has firmly established itself in second place in the Serie A standings. With an 11-point lead over sixth-place Roma, the Lombardy side secured a Champions League spot weeks ago. The lack of motivation has been reflected in recent results: the Rossoneri have won just once in their last six league matches, drawing three and losing two. They shared points with Juventus (0-0) and Genoa (3-3), thrashed Cagliari (5-1), and lost to Torino (3-1) last weekend.

Stefano Pioli, who won the Scudetto in 2022, is likely to leave AC Milan this summer and is expected to be replaced by Paulo Fonseca. However, Pioli can leave with his head held high, as he became the club’s second-winningest manager (59%) in history. AC Milan holds the third spot in home points (39 in 18 home games, 35 goals scored, 14 conceded). 

Salernitana

Salernitana had a disastrous start to the 2023/24 season, and their relegation was confirmed weeks ago. The Sea Horses failed to regain their form, collecting just 16 points in 37 rounds. Notably, they have not won a single match in 2024 (4 draws and 15 losses). After four straight losses, they nearly beat Juventus away, conceding a late goal (1-1). Last Monday, Salernitana lost 2-1 to Verona in front of their home fans: Mastiffs took the lead in the first half via Suslov and Folorunsho, while the underdog replied with a late strike from Maggiore.

This campaign has seen three head coach changes: after Pippo Inzaghi was dismissed in the autumn, Fabio Liverani replaced him, but even his tenure was short-lived – the reins are now in Stefano Colantuono's hands. Salernitana is the absolute worst team in Serie A for away performances, earning just 8 points in 18 games, scoring 12, and conceding 40. 

Head-to-Head

In the first round, AC Milan played out a 2-2 draw with Salernitana. Furthermore, the Rossoneri have won only three of their last four encounters.

Match Prediction: AC Milan vs Salernitana

Salernitana has won just one away match this season, and it is unlikely the Sea Horses will succeed at a packed San Siro. Though the hosts are no longer motivated in terms of standings, ending the campaign on a high note in front of home fans and bidding farewell to Stefano Pioli are indeed significant factors. I am betting on a triumph for the Rossoneri with a -2 handicap.

Total Prediction

Salernitana has conceded 40 goals in 18 away matches and is in deep crisis – the visitors are unlikely to concede fewer than three times this Saturday.

Corner Prediction

With the support of their home crowd, AC Milan will undoubtedly play on the front foot and be much more aggressive in attack. I am betting on the individual total over 6.5 corners for the Rossoneri.

Yellow Card Prediction

Salernitana will be outclassed and will defend a lot, so I am betting on the visitors to win the yellow card count.

Score Prediction

I am putting my money on a 3-0 win for AC Milan.