On Wednesday, 15 May, in the final of the Coppa Italia, Atalanta will face Juventus. "La Dea" is yearning to secure their first major trophy in 61 years, while the Turin giants are experiencing significant problems in recent weeks and hope a win will salvage an otherwise dismal season.
The match will be held in Rome at the Stadio Olimpico.
In their history, Atalanta have won only one Coppa Italia, back in 1963. In recent seasons, the Bergamascans have been getting closer to the title, evidenced by their lost finals in 2019 and 2021. In this year's competition, the nominal hosts first defeated Sassuolo (3:1), then surprised Milan (1:2), and overcame Fiorentina in the semi-final (4:2 on aggregate). In the league, Gian Piero Gasperini’s men occupy the fifth spot on the table, holding one game and a three-point lead over Roma, keeping their Champions League hopes alive.
Atalanta's confidence is bolstered by four consecutive victories against Monza (1:2), Empoli (2:0), Salernitana (1:2), and Roma last weekend (2:1). De Ketelaere scored a brace in the first half, while Roma responded only with Pellegrini's penalty. In the Europa League, "La Dea" defeated Marseille last week (4:1 on aggregate) and will face the invincible Bayer Leverkusen in the final.
Juventus are the most successful team in Coppa Italia history, boasting 14 titles. The Piedmont outfit last claimed victory in this tournament in 2021 and reached the finals in 2020 and 2022. In this campaign, the "Old Lady" defeated Salernitana (6:1), Frosinone (4:0), and Lazio (3:2 on aggregate) in the previous rounds. In the domestic league, the Bianconeri have long vied with Inter for the Scudetto, but their form has dipped since January. Max Allegri's men now sit fourth in the Serie A table, having already secured a Champions League spot.
Furthermore, Juventus have secured just 2 wins out of their last 15 matches, with 9 draws and 4 losses, including a 1:1 home draw against struggling Salernitana last weekend. "The Seahorses" took the lead through Perozzi in the first half, and only a 91st-minute goal by Rabiot salvaged a point for the favourites. Juventus have been woeful away from home this spring, not winning a single away match since mid-January, securing just one clean sheet.
Atalanta and Juventus couldn't determine a winner in the league this season, drawing both in Bergamo (0:0) and Turin (2:2).
Atalanta have been in phenomenal form this spring and are one step away from clinching the much-awaited trophy. The Bergamascans have secured three consecutive victories and are undefeated in their last seven matches, whereas Juventus' crisis is evident, as the Turin side failed to overcome even the sinking Salernitana at home last weekend. Hence, I back Atalanta to win with a 0 handicap.
The teams are unlikely to accelerate the tempo on the pitch, considering the match's significance. Only one of the previous four head-to-head encounters has seen more than two goals scored, so I bet on a total under 2.5 goals.
In two head-to-head matches this season, the teams have only managed seven corners between them, so a total under 8.5 corners seems reasonable.
The Coppa Italia final is a special moment for every footballer, so no one will hold back in the challenges. I back over 4.5 yellow cards.
I predict a 1:0 victory for Atalanta.
Comments0