Salernitana - Atalanta BC predictions and free betting tips [06/05/2024]

On Monday, the 6th of May, within the bars of the 35th tour of Italian Serie A, "Salernitana" will host "Atalanta". The club from Bergamo is on an arm’s length from the finale of the Europa League and is preparing to participate in a decisive match in the national cup, while the hosts have already secured their departure from the elite division.

Predicted lineups

"Salernitana": Costil; Manolas, Fazio, Pirola; Sambia, Coulibaly, Basic, Bradaric; Vignato, Tchaouna; Ikwuemesi.
"Atalanta": Carnesecchi; Scalvini, Hien, Djimsiti; Hateboer, De Roon, Adopo, Bakker; Miranchuk, Lookman; Toure.

Stadium

The match is set to take place in Salerno at the Arechi Stadium.

"Salernitana"

The current season for "Salernitana" has turned into a real nightmare, and they are already guaranteed a place in Serie B next campaign. Having collected only 15 points in 34 tours, the club from the basement of the league table has yet to regain former form. Stefano Colantuono's charges became only the sixth team in Serie A history to earn 15 or fewer points at this stage of the championship. Being in free fall for several months now, the white-brown team haven't won any of the last 16 championship matches (3 draws and 13 defeats).

At present, "Salernitana" has suffered 3 consecutive defeats: against "Lazio" (4:1), "Fiorentina" (0:2), and "Frosinone" last weekend (3:0). Furthermore, the hosts haven't tasted success in 2024, scoring only 11 goals and conceding 37. It's hardly surprising that "the sea horses" occupy the last place in the overall standings in terms of points garnered at home (just 8 points in 17 clashes, 15 goals scored, 34 conceded). 

"Atalanta"

"Atalanta" is in 6th position in the Serie A league table, with a game in hand and trailing the top five by 2 points. Thus, the fate of the Bergamo-based club is in their own hands if they wish to participate in the Champions League. Over the last 6 rounds, Gian Piero Gasperini’s trainees have succumbed only once, winning thrice and drawing twice. Following a home draw with "Verona" (2:2), they triumphed over "Monza" (1:2) and "Empoli" last weekend (2:0).

Last week, the blue-and-white team drew with "Marseille" in the first leg of the Europa League semi-final (1:1): Gianluca Scamacca broke the deadlock already in the 11th minute, yet Mbemba restored parity on the scoreboard 9 minutes later with a fierce shot. Moreover, "Atalanta" will attempt to replicate their success in the national cup at the end of the month, clashing with "Juventus" in the final. It's important to note that the visitors rank only eighth in the overall standings in terms of points gained away from home (22 points in 17 away matches, 26 goals scored , 25 conceded). 

Head-to-head meetings

The visitors inflicted the heaviest defeat on the Campanian club in Serie A history (8:2) in January last year. The meeting of the first round ended likewise in triumph for the blue-and-whites, 4:1.

Prediction for the match "Salernitana" – "Atalanta"

"Atalanta" is in peak form as the long season approaches its end and, even if Gasperini opts for significant squad rotation, the guests are likely to leave Stadio Arechi with a victory. "Salernitana" is officially relegated to Serie B and remains in deep crisis, not knowing victory since last year. My prediction is victory for Bergamo with a handicap of -1.

Prediction on the total

"Salernitana" has been conceding on average 2.5 goals per match this spring, suggesting at least two goals scored by "Atalanta" tonight.

Prediction on corners

The guests outweigh their opponent in class and play first number. I expect the favourite to win by all key indicators, including corners (handicap -1.5).

Prediction on yellow cards

"Salernitana" accumulates, on average, 2.5 yellow cards per game and is likely to meet this quota in the clash with the technically equipped attackers from Bergamo.

Prediction on score

I would place a bet on the exact score of 1:3 in favour of "Atalanta".