Atalanta BC - Fiorentina predictions and free betting tips [24/04/2024]

On Wednesday, 24th of April, as part of the Italian Cup semi-final second leg, Atalanta will host Fiorentina on their home turf. The match three weeks ago ended with a victory for the "violets" with a score of 1:0, so now the Bergamaschi need to win at all cost.

Predicted Line-ups

Atalanta: Carnesecchi; Djimsiti, Hien, Kolasinac; Zappacosta, De Roon, Ederson, Ruggeri; Koopmeiners, Lookman; Scamacca.
Fiorentina: Terracciano; Kayode, Milenkovic, Ranieri, Biraghi; Arthur, Mandragora; Gonzalez, Beltran, Kouame; Belotti.

Stadium

The duel will take place in Bergamo at the Atleti Azzurri stadium.

Atalanta

Atalanta has won the Italian Cup only once in its history (in 1963), but made it to the final in 2019 and 2021. In the current campaign, Gian Piero Gasperini's charges started their journey with a victory over Sassuolo (3:1), followed by a victory over Milan (1:2). In the semi-finals, the white and blues lost to Fiorentina in the first match (1:0), so the hosts need to win at all costs on Wednesday. Sitting in sixth place in the Serie A standings, La Dea has a good chance of qualifying for the European cups (one point behind fifth-placed Roma).

However, the team has been faltering recently: they've only managed 2 wins in their last 8 rounds, with 3 draws and 3 losses. Last weekend, the Bergamo side narrowly beat Monza with a score of 1:2. In the Europa League, the striped team sensationally dealt with Liverpool in the quarter-finals and will meet Marseille next week. It's important to note that the home side has only triumphed once in their last four home matches in all competitions, but in 15 out of 16 previous duels on their home ground, they haven't left the field without scoring a goal. 

Fiorentina

Fiorentina has made a small step towards the Italian Cup final, securing a home victory over Atalanta with a score of 1:0 in the first leg thanks to Mandragora's lone goal in the 31st minute. Of course, on Wednesday in Bergamo, the "violets" will have a tough task, especially considering the team's results in previous rounds. The purple and whites barely got past Parma at home (2:2, victory on penalties) and Bologna (0:0, qualification on penalties).

In the championship, the Tuscans still have chances for getting into the European cups and hold a modest 9th place in the Serie A standings, five points behind the top seven with a game in hand. Last weekend, Vincenzo Italiano's team defeated the sinking Salernitana (0:2), which put an end to a series of 5 rounds without a win in the national championship (3 draws and 2 losses). In the Europa League quarter-finals, Fiorentina dealt with Viktoria Plzeň and will soon meet Bruges. It's important to note that the guests have only secured two wins in their last 10 away matches in all competitions. 

Head to Head

During the current season, these teams met each other twice: in the first round of the championship, Fiorentina won with a score of 3:2, and in the Italian Cup semi-final, 1:0.

Prediction for the Match Atalanta – Fiorentina

Fiorentina dominated the first match and deservedly gained an advantage, however, this week the roles of the teams can change, as Atalanta, with the support of their fans, can upset any level of opponent. In addition, the guests perform very poorly away from home and their situation is worsened by an overcrowded infirmary. My prediction is a home victory for the Bergamaschi.

Total Prediction

The guests have scored only two goals in their last three away matches, while Atalanta acts confidently in defence on their home ground and does not let their opponents play out near their penalty area. I'm betting on Fiorentina's individual total under 1 goal.

Corner Prediction

Atalanta absolutely has to win, so from the early minutes, the white-blues will take the initiative and siege the guest's goal. I expect a win from Gasperini's side on corners.

Yellow Card Prediction

The Florentine team is quite satisfied with the score in the tie, so the guests will regularly disrupt the pace of their opponent's attacks with fouls. I expect the "violets" to win on yellow cards.

Score Prediction

I'll bet on an exact score of 2:0 in favour of Atalanta.