Napoli - Frosinone predictions and free betting tips [14/04/2024]

On Sunday 14 April, as part of the 32nd round of the Italian Serie A, Napoli will host Frosinone. While the 'Partenopei' are battling for a spot in the top six, the visitors are stuck in the relegation zone and have yet to win an away game since their promotion.

Predicted line-ups

Napoli: Meret; Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Jesus, Rui; Anguissa, Lobotka, Zielinski; Politano, Osimhen, Kvaratskhelia.
Frosinone: Turati; Okoli, Romagnoli, Lirola; Zortea, Mazzitelli, Barrenechea, Valeri; Soule, Reinier; Cheddira.

Stadium

The match will be held in Naples at the Diego Maradona stadium.

Napoli

Far from living up to the expectations of the club at the beginning of the season, Napoli now sits only seventh in the Serie A standings and seems unlikely to participate in the next Champions League. The reigning Italian champions hope to qualify for lower-ranked European competitions, but they must pick up pace in the final rounds. Since Francesco Calzona took over the team, the white-blues have lost just once in the league, albeit scraping only three wins and three draws.

After the international break in March, Napoli were thrashed at home by Atalanta (0:3), but they triumphed in Monza last weekend, 2:4. Matteo Politano scored a goal vying for the title of goal of the season, and Victor Osimhen, Piotr Zielinski and Raspadori killed off any intrigue in the match. Despite this, Napoli still only has six clean sheets and due to defensive shortcomings, the Campanian club has only won six out of 15 home league matches. 

Frosinone

Since returning to the elite division, Frosinone hasn't brought much joy to their fans and currently sits 18th in Serie A, lagging one point behind the higher-placed Verona. The 'Canaries' had a pretty solid first half of the season, but have slowed down significantly in the past few weeks: the team has not won any of its last 10 fixtures (4 draws and 6 losses). After the international break, the blue-yellows claimed a draw against Genoa (1:1) and managed a goalless draw against Bologna at home last weekend.

In fact, in the last 18 league games, Eusebio Di Francesco's team have only won once with 12 failures; only Darmstadt, the Bundesliga's bottom side, have a worse record in all five top leagues in Europe for this period. Moreover, Frosinone is the worst team in Serie A on the road: only four points have been gathered and 35 goals conceded in 15 away matches.  

Head-to-head meetings

In the first round, Napoli got past Frosinone (1:3) but in December the 'Canaries' sensationally thrashed the 'Partenopei' in the 1/8 finals of the Italian Cup (0:4). 

Match prediction: Napoli - Frosinone

Even though Napoli is still far from last season's form, Francesco Calzona has managed to improve the team's coordination on the field. Given that Frosinone performs worst in Serie A on the road, Napoli should be the ones picking up three points with the support of their home fans. The chances of qualifying for European competitions are not yet completely lost, so I'm going for a Napoli victory with a handicap of -1.5. 

Total prediction

Frosinone have conceded 35 goals in 15 away games – this is the second-worst record in Serie A after Salernitana. We confidently predict Napoli's ITO (individual total over) to be over 2 goals. 

Corner prediction

At home, Napoli will be far more aggressive in their attacks and should utilise their dynamic flanks, so I predict Napoli's individual total for corners to be over 5.5. 

Yellow cards prediction

Frosinone will have to fend off the rapid attacks of the hosts for 90 minutes, and doing this without a plethora of infringements seems unlikely. I'm backing the visitors to accumulate more yellow cards. 

Score prediction

I'll endorse a specific score of 3:0 in favour of Napoli.