Burnley - Nottingham Forest predictions and free betting tips [19/05/2024]

On Sunday, 19 May, Burnley will host Nottingham Forest in the 38th round of the Premier League. Last weekend, the Foresters failed to ensure their elite status, losing at home to Chelsea 2-3, while the Lancashire side officially lost their chances for survival after a 2-1 defeat against Tottenham.

Burnley

Sitting 19th in the Premier League table and trailing Nottingham Forest in 17th by 5 points, Burnley can no longer hope to retain their spot in the elite division. Vincent Kompany's team has amassed just 25 points in 37 rounds, which explains why the Clarets have only one win, four draws, and three losses in their last eight matches. After defeating Manchester United 1-1, the hosts subsequently lost to Newcastle (1-4) and Tottenham last weekend (2-1). Jacob Bruun Larsen's goal brought hope to the underdog, but Pedro Porro and Micky van de Ven turned the game around to secure all three points for the Londoners. Burnley has managed just 18 goals at home, the worst in the league, and hasn't kept a clean sheet in their last 10 matches at Turf Moor.

Moreover, the Lancastrians have secured only 10 points from 18 home matches, the second-worst in the league (after Sheffield). Burnley's squad is weakened by injuries: defenders Al-Dakhil and Ekdal, as well as wingers Ramsey, Koleosho, and Redmond are out. Bruun Larsen (6 goals) scored last round and deserves to start, while Frenchman Odobert (19 years old, 3 goals and 2 assists) is set to lead the attack. Fofana (4 goals) and Foster (5 goals and 3 assists) are in contention for the second striker position, while Charlie Taylor or Maxime Estev could play on the right side of defence.

Nottingham Forest

Despite a 4-point deduction due to financial misconduct, Nottingham Forest has a good chance to stay in the top flight. They are 17th in the Premier League table, three points clear of the drop zone, with a decent goal difference. The Reds have won only twice, drawn three times, and lost seven times in their last 12 rounds. After a 1-3 victory over Sheffield United, Nottingham Forest lost to Chelsea last weekend (2-3). Callum Hudson-Odoi and Willy Boly responded to Mykhailo Mudryk's early goal, but in the last 10 minutes, Raheem Sterling and Nicolas Jackson completed a comeback. Nuno Espírito Santo's team has conceded in their last six away league games.

The visitors are third from the bottom in the overall standings for points gained at home. Defender Neco Williams is out due to injury, but all key players are ready for the match. Right-back Gonzalo Montiel, a World Cup winner, made headlines last week due to allegations of sexual assault in 2019, which he denies – his participation on Sunday remains doubtful. New Zealand striker Wood (12 goals), attacking midfielders Gibbs-White (5 goals and 10 assists) and Hudson-Odoi (8 goals), winger Elanga (5 goals and 8 assists), and Nigerian Awoniyi (6 goals and 3 assists) are expected to start in attack.

Head-to-Head

Recently, Burnley has not lost to Forest in eight consecutive meetings since their 2-0 defeat in December 2012. The first round of the current campaign ended in a 1-1 draw.

Prediction for Burnley – Nottingham Forest

Burnley has no tournament motivation and Vincent Kompany's team will just try to please their fans before returning to the Championship. Forest is also almost certainly safe in the elite division and will not push too hard. These teams have drawn in 4 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings, so I predict another draw.