On Monday the 13th of May, within the 37th round of the Premier League, Aston Villa will be hosting Liverpool on their home ground. The Reds have already secured their place in the Champions League, whilst the Lions could join them depending on how this match pans out.
The battle will take place in Birmingham at the Villa Park Stadium.
Aston Villa has been a real surprise this season in England and has every chance of participating in the Champions League. Currently, the Birmingham squad are in 4th place in the Premier League table, with one game in hand and leading over Tottenham by four points. Last weekend, Unai Emery's charges lost 1:0 to Brighton, thereby ending their four-match unbeaten run (2 wins and 2 draws). This week, Aston Villa lost to Olympiacos (2:0) and was thus eliminated from the Conference League semifinals (losing the first leg 2:4), all decided by a solitary goal from Ayoub El Kaabi.
After a historical 15-match winning streak at home, the hosts have lost their sparkle, only managing victory in three out of the last eight Premier League matches before their fans. Furthermore, supporters are obviously concerned by the fact that the claret and blues have been unable to keep a clean sheet in their last six official matches in all competitions.
For a long time, Liverpool chased the championship title alongside Arsenal and Manchester City, but unfortunately stumbled at the worst moment and has to settle for 3rd place. The Merseysiders now trail the leaders by 5 points, with only two matches remaining. In their last six matches, the Reds have won just twice, drawn twice, and suffered two losses. Unexpectedly surrendering in the derby to Everton (2:0), the Merseysiders then pulled off a draw with West Ham (2:2), before thrashing Tottenham (4:2) last weekend.
Goals from Mohamed Salah, Andrew Robertson, Harvey Elliott, and Cody Gakpo earned Liverpool an enormous advantage, whilst Richarlison and Son Heung-min merely softened the blow for the London squad. Interesting fact: the guests haven't lost in 18 past Premier League matches played in March. It's also worth noting that the Reds rank third overall for points accumulated away from home (33 in 18 encounters, 34 goals scored, 21 conceded).
The Lions have lost six out of their last seven matches against the Merseysiders, who convincingly triumphed 3:0 at Anfield in the first half of the season.
Klopp's troops no longer have even mathematical chances at the championship title and will be playing out the season for their own pleasure, enjoying Jurgen Klopp's final days at the helm of the Reds. Villa has pretty much guaranteed themselves a place in the top four, but have significantly slowed down in recent weeks and slipped into a crisis. It's rational to bet on the away win for the favourites.
In each of the last four matches between these teams at Villa Park, the score was opened within the first five minutes. I'll take a punt that the first goal will again be scored within the first 15 minutes.
Both teams preach exclusively attacking football and boast agile flanks. We confidently bet on total corners over 9.5.
The teams are not renowned for rough play in this campaign and, for the most part, have no tournament motivation - so why launch into reckless slides? I'm betting on total yellow cards under 4.5.
I'm betting on an exact score of 1:2 in favour of Liverpool.
# | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | G | PTS | |
1 | Manchester City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9:2 | 9 | |
2 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7:0 | 9 | |
3 | Brighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:2 | 7 | |
4 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:1 | 7 | |
5 | Newcastle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:2 | 7 | |
6 | Brentford | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 | |
7 | Aston Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 6 | |
8 | Bournemouth | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 5 | |
9 | Nottingham | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 | |
10 | Tottenham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:3 | 4 | |
11 | Chelsea | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 4 | |
12 | Fulham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 | |
13 | West Ham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 4:5 | 3 | |
14 | Manchester Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 2:5 | 3 | |
15 | Leicester | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 3:5 | 1 | |
16 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 2:5 | 1 | |
17 | Ipswich | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 2:7 | 1 | |
18 | Wolves | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 3:9 | 1 | |
19 | Southampton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 1:5 | 0 | |
20 | Everton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 2:10 | 0 | |
1 | Newcastle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 | |
2 | Brentford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 | |
3 | Arsenal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 | |
4 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | |
5 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 | |
6 | Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 | |
7 | Tottenham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 | |
8 | Fulham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 | |
9 | Manchester Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 3 | |
10 | Nottingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 | |
11 | Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 | |
12 | Chelsea | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 1 | |
13 | Leicester | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 1 | |
14 | Ipswich | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 1 | |
15 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 | |
16 | West Ham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:5 | 0 | |
17 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 | |
18 | Wolves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:6 | 0 | |
19 | Southampton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 | |
20 | Everton | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:6 | 0 | |
1 | Manchester City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 | |
2 | Liverpool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 | |
3 | Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 | |
4 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 | |
5 | Bournemouth | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 | |
6 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 | |
7 | Nottingham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 | |
8 | Chelsea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 3 | |
9 | West Ham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 | |
10 | Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 | |
11 | Tottenham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 1 | |
12 | Fulham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 1 | |
13 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 1 | |
14 | Wolves | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 1 | |
15 | Brentford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 | |
16 | Manchester Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 | |
17 | Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 | |
18 | Ipswich | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 | |
19 | Southampton | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 | |
20 | Everton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
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