Newcastle United - Brighton and Hove Albion predictions and free betting tips [11/05/2024]

On Saturday, 11th May, the 37th tour of the Premier League will see Newcastle host Brighton on their home turf. The hosts have performed excellently in recent weeks and rightfully claimed a spot in the top six Eurocup placements, whereas the Seagulls wrap up the season without any tournament objectives to chase.

Stadium

The match will be held in Newcastle at St. James Park.

Newcastle

Having dialed back compared to last season, Newcastle quickly fell behind the 'big four', synonymous with Champions League qualifications. Nonetheless, the Magpies presently hold the 6th spot in the Premier League table and stand a chance to secure a ticket to a lower-ranking Eurocup. The Magpies are in stunning form, having won 5 of their last 7 matches, drawn 1 and lost 1. After a letdown from Crystal Palace (2:0), Eddie Howe's team resumed their winning sprint, seizing victories over Sheffield United (5:1) and Burnley (1:4) this past weekend.

Callum Wilson, Sean Longstaff, and Bruno Gomáraes scored in the first half, with Alexander Isak registering his 20th goal in the Premier League this season after half time. With a mere two-point gap separating them from the trailing Chelsea, the hosts must avoid any stumble this weekend. The Magpies, notable for clinching the fourth place for most points gathered at home (39 points out of 18 matches, 48 goals scored, 21 conceded).

Brighton

Brighton, a surprise success last season, hasn't lived up to that success this season. Seated only 11th on the Premier League table, the Seagulls won't have any Eurocup appearances this autumn. Roberto De Zerbi's side managed to edge out Aston Villa (1:0) at home last weekend despite failing to secure any victory from their previous 6 clashes (2 draws, 4 defeats).

João Pedro scored the decisive goal in the 87th minute after Robin Olsen parried the penalty. Brighton's away fixtures haven't been very successful in recent months: the Seagulls only managed to emerge victorious once from their last 10 away matches against all competitions - a 5:0 triumph over the sinking Sheffield United. Furthermore, the Seagulls have only scored twice in their last six tours. 

Head-to-Head Encounters

The Seagulls have only lost two of their last 13 encounters with Newcastle and are positioned to secure a back-to-back victory over the north-eastern club. The first round of the contest concluded with a 3:1 victory for the Seagulls.

Prediction for the Newcastle vs Brighton

The upcoming match's outcome will be of utmost importance for Newcastle, determined to preserve their Eurocup zone standing. Conversely, Brighton lacks any solid tournament motivation, reflected in their recent results: just one victory since mid-March. Moreover, the Seagulls' infirmary is chock-full. My prediction hence places Newcastle for the victory.

Over/Under Prediction

Brighton conceded 11 goals in their last five tours, whereas Newcastle notched an impressive 14 goals over a similar stretch. The safe bet lies in backing Newcastle's individual total to exceed 1.5 goals.

Corner Prediction

Aided by home crowd support, Newcastle will claim the dominant role and hence attack more frequently, leading to their upper hand in corners with a -1.5 handicap.

Yellow Card Prediction

Neither side is known for their rugged play; therefore, I place the overall yellow cards under 4.5.

Goal Prediction

I back a precise score of 2:0 in favour of Newcastle.