On Wednesday, 24 April in a rescheduled match for the 29th round of the Premier League, Everton welcomes Liverpool on their home ground. While the Reds outclassed Fulham in London on Sunday with a score of 1:3, Sean Dyche's team took down Nottingham Forest (2:0) thereby increasing their chances of retaining their Premier League status.
Everton: Pickford; Young, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko; Harrison, Onana, Gueye, McNeil; Doucoure; Calvert-Lewin.
Liverpool: Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson; Szoboszlai, Endo, Mac Allister; Salah, Nunez, Diaz.
This season, the English Football Association imposed an eight-point penalty on Everton, so the Toffees will have to make a tremendous effort to avoid the drop. Despite this, the Blues sit 16th in the Premier League table, with a game in hand and five points clear of 18th-placed Luton. Winning 2 from their last 4 matches, with a single draw and defeat, Sean Dyche's squad has gained good momentum in April. After a 6:0 thrashing by Chelsea, the hosts managed a 2:0 victory against their direct relegation competitor, Nottingham Forest, last weekend -- all thanks to two strikingly similar goals by Idrissa Gueye and Dwight McNeil.
It's crucial to note that the Toffees have only lost one of their last six matches at Goodison Park, and in each of their last 11 Premier League home victories, they managed to keep a clean sheet! Nevertheless, the hosts are ranked only 17th in overall home points tally (19 points from 16 home games, 18 goals scored, 18 conceded).
Fighting for a championship title in his last season at the helm of Liverpool, Jurgen Klopp's charges sit 2nd in the league table, with as many points as the leader - Arsenal. However, Manchester City is only one point behind, with a game in hand. Following eight unbeaten matches (6 wins and 2 draws), the Reds faced a sensational 0:1 fiasco against Crystal Palace. Last weekend, the Merseyside outfit redeemed themselves by handling a strong Fulham (1:3) in London. Timothy Castagne replied to a spectacular free-kick by Trent Alexander-Arnold, but in the second half, Ryan Gravenberch and Diogo Jota scored goals.
The commendable goal scoring streak of the Reds on away Premier League matches is now up to 20, since their goalless clash with Chelsea in April last year.
Last Thursday, the club was knocked out of the Europa League playoffs, losing to Atalanta (3:1) at the quarter-final stage. Liverpool's squad still misses experienced Matip and Thiago Alcantara, along with right-back Bradley; there are no additional player losses in the visitor's camp.
In October, Everton was beaten by Liverpool (2:0) at Anfield, however, in five of their last six face-offs at Goodison Park, the teams finished on level terms.
Klopp's team handled a sturdy Fulham with ease, despite a string of disappointing outcomes early in the week. The Reds are still in the running for the championship title, but slip-ups are no longer an option - any points dropped would surely prove fatal. In recent years, Everton has regularly upset Liverpool at Goodison Park, but this time it will differ. I'm backing the favourite to triumph by a margin of 1-2 goals.
Everton failed to notch any goals against the Reds in their last four derbies, while they've only conceded an average of a goal per match at home. My prediction is an overall total of under 3.5 goals.
Liverpool outclasses the opponent and will hold the initiative throughout the match. I'm putting money on the individual total for the visitors on corners to be over 5.5.
Playing as the home team, they will spend significant time in defence and will be forced to regularly break the tempo of the opponent's attacks with fouls. I'm backing the Toffees to win the yellow card count.
I'm wagering for a precise score of 0:1 in favour of Liverpool.
# | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | G | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 29 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 42 | 69:27 | 70 | |
2 | Arsenal | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 28 | 52:24 | 55 | |
3 | Nottingham | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 45:33 | 51 | |
4 | Chelsea | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 53:36 | 49 | |
5 | Manchester City | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 53:38 | 47 | |
6 | Newcastle | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 47:38 | 47 | |
7 | Brighton | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 46:40 | 46 | |
8 | Aston Villa | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | -4 | 41:45 | 45 | |
9 | Bournemouth | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 47:34 | 44 | |
10 | Fulham | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 41:38 | 42 | |
11 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 36:33 | 39 | |
12 | Brentford | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 48:44 | 38 | |
13 | Tottenham | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 55:41 | 34 | |
14 | Manchester Utd | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -6 | 34:40 | 34 | |
15 | Everton | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | -4 | 31:35 | 33 | |
16 | West Ham | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -16 | 32:48 | 33 | |
17 | Wolves | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -19 | 38:57 | 23 | |
18 | Ipswich | 28 | 3 | 8 | 17 | -32 | 26:58 | 17 | |
19 | Leicester | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | -37 | 25:62 | 17 | |
20 | Southampton | 28 | 2 | 3 | 23 | -48 | 20:68 | 9 | |
1 | Liverpool | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 31:11 | 35 | |
2 | Arsenal | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 27:11 | 28 | |
3 | Nottingham | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23:10 | 28 | |
4 | Chelsea | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 27:15 | 28 | |
5 | Aston Villa | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 25:18 | 28 | |
6 | Manchester City | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 28:17 | 26 | |
7 | Brighton | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21:16 | 24 | |
8 | Brentford | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 30:27 | 24 | |
9 | Newcastle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 24:17 | 23 | |
10 | Bournemouth | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 17:10 | 21 | |
11 | Fulham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 20:21 | 20 | |
12 | Manchester Utd | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 21:25 | 20 | |
13 | Tottenham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 30:26 | 18 | |
14 | Everton | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 20:17 | 18 | |
15 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17:22 | 17 | |
16 | West Ham | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 18:28 | 17 | |
17 | Wolves | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 18:27 | 11 | |
18 | Leicester | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 11:27 | 9 | |
19 | Ipswich | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 10:30 | 7 | |
20 | Southampton | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 9:37 | 4 | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 38:16 | 35 | |
2 | Arsenal | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:13 | 27 | |
3 | Newcastle | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 23:21 | 24 | |
4 | Nottingham | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 22:23 | 23 | |
5 | Bournemouth | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 30:24 | 23 | |
6 | Brighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 25:24 | 22 | |
7 | Fulham | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 21:17 | 22 | |
8 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19:11 | 22 | |
9 | Chelsea | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 26:21 | 21 | |
10 | Manchester City | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 25:21 | 21 | |
11 | Aston Villa | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 16:27 | 17 | |
12 | Tottenham | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 25:15 | 16 | |
13 | West Ham | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:20 | 16 | |
14 | Everton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 11:18 | 15 | |
15 | Brentford | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 18:17 | 14 | |
16 | Manchester Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13:15 | 14 | |
17 | Wolves | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 20:30 | 12 | |
18 | Ipswich | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 16:28 | 10 | |
19 | Leicester | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 14:35 | 8 | |
20 | Southampton | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 11:31 | 5 |
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