Burnley - Brighton and Hove Albion predictions and free betting tips [13/04/2024]

On Saturday, the 13th of April in the scope of the Premier League's 33rd round, Burnley will host Brighton on their home field. The hosts currently occupy the 19th position in the overall league standings, being six points away from the safety of the 17th spot, while the Seagulls, claim the 10th place and have managed to gain only 1 point in their previous three matches.

Predicted line-ups

Burnley: Muric; Assignon, Delcroix, Esteve, Taylor; Foster, Cullen, Berge, Larsen; Odobert, Fofana.
Brighton: Verbruggen; Lamptey, Van Hecke, Dunk, Estupinan; Gross, Baleba; Adingra, Pedro, Enciso; Welbeck.

Stadium

The clash will take place in Burnley at Turf Moor Stadium.

Burnley

Burnley's return to the top-flight division isn't going too well, as they currently sit at 19th in the league table, trailing 6 points behind 17th placed Nottingham Forest. Vincent Kompany's proteges still have chances to maintain their Premier League status, but the outcomes are not too promising. Indeed, in the last 14 rounds, Clarets won only against Brentford, played a draw five times, and conceded defeat eight times. After lively draws with Chelsea (2:2) and Wolverhampton (1:1), the hosts were defeated by a crisis-stricken Everton last weekend – with Calvert-Lewin's sole goal on the 45th minute determining the outcome.

Next week Burnley is to play a crucial match against another league outsider – Sheffield United, and by the end of the month, they are set to visit Manchester and then host Nottingham Forest. Kompany's team owns the worst home performance in the championship this season, having only gained nine points in 16 matches at Turf Moor with 16 goals netted and 36 conceded. 

Brighton

Brighton occupies the 10th position in the Premier League table but still maintains a fighting chance to finish in the Europa League zone (being 6 points behind the top six). However, this would require some serious effort from the Seagulls, as their recent form has been a disappointment to their supporters, boasting only one win in their last six league games, along with two draws and three losses. After a goalless draw against Brentford, the South Coasters were annihilated by Arsenal (0:3) last weekend, with Saka, Havertz, and Trossard each finding the net.

To add insult to injury, Brighton was knocked out of the Europa League by Roma in the round of 16, with an aggregate score of 4:1. In the next round, De Zerbi's men will be hosting Manchester City, emphasising the urgency of grabbing points this Saturday. It is important to note that the Whites and Blues only manage to claim the 12th position in overall away team standings, with only 16 points in 16 matches, netting 23 and conceding 30 goals. 

Head-to-Head

In the last five Premier League encounters against Burnley, Seagulls claimed only one victory, with the first leg of this season ending in a 1:1 draw.

Burnley vs Brighton Match Prediction

Burnley managed to secure no more than four victories throughout the campaign, making it hard to assume that they would succeed against a Brighton team motivated for the Europa League qualifications. Certainly, the Seagulls' recent performances were disappointing, but De Zerbi's charges, despite the squad issues, have greatly skilled players and, last autumn, even topped their Europa League group. I'm confidently backing the away win.

Goals Total Prediction

I don't expect a goal fest in this encounter: for Burnley, it's extremely important to not concede first, while Brighton, not in their best form, will likely not force the game pace. My prediction – Total Under 3 goals.

Corner Prediction

Clarets, supported by their home crowd, will try to occasionally threaten the opponent's citadel with dangerous moves; thus, I predict the host's Individual Total Over 3.5 corners.

Yellow Card Prediction

Neither team is known for excessively rough gameplay (averaging around 2 yellow cards per match), hence my prediction is Total Under 3.5 yellow cards.

Correct Score Prediction

I'll go for a precise score of 0:1 in Brighton's favour.