Burnley - Arsenal predictions and free betting tips [17/02/2024]

On Saturday, 17th February, in the 25th match week of the Premier League, Burnley will host Arsenal. Last week, Mikel Arteta's charges hammered West Ham 0:6 in the derby, whilst Burnley's trip to league leaders Liverpool was marked by a 3:1 defeat.

Anticipated Line-ups

Burnley: Trafford; Assignon, O'Shea, Esteve, Delcroix; Odobert, Berge, Brownhill, Bruun Larsen; Amdouni, Datro Fofana.
Arsenal: Raya; White, Saliba, Gabriel, Kiwior; Odegaard, Rice, Havertz; Saka, Trossard, Martinelli.

Burnley

Burnley's return to the top division has been unsuccessful so far: they currently occupy the 19th place in the league table, having merited only 13 points in 24 match weeks. Consequently, Vincent Kompany's charges are wrestling for survival (seven points adrift the safe 17th position). The Clarets have not won any of their last seven matches, conceding defeat in five of them. After overcoming two goals behind and squeezing a draw against Fulham (2:2), Burnley lost 3:1 at Anfield to Liverpool last weekend.

Dara O'Shea responded to Diogo Jota's goal, but in the second half, the underdogs couldn't hold off Luis Diaz and Darwin Nunez. Furthermore, the Uruguayan's goal became the 50th conceded by the hosts in the current Premier League campaign: they averagely concede slightly more than two goals per match. However, after seven losses at Turf Moor from the season's start, Kompany's charges have taken points in three of their last five home matches. 

Arsenal

Having returned to the title race last season, Arsenal is vying for the title again in the ongoing campaign. The Londoners are in the third place of the Premier League table, just two points off the top. After a disappointing December, the London giants are back on track in 2024: the visitors have won the last four Premier League matches: against Crystal Palace (5:0), Nottingham Forest (1:2), Liverpool (3:1), and West Ham last weekend (0:6).

William Saliba opened the scoring, followed by goals from Bukayo Saka (twice), Leandro Trossard and Gabriel Magalhaes, while Declan Rice splendidly netted with a fantastic long-range shot. Conceding only 11 goals on the road this term, the Gunners brag the third most efficient attack: netting 23 goals away from home. Arsenal will head to Porto on Wednesday for the first leg of the Champions League round of 16.

Head-to-head

The Gunners defeated Burnley 3:1 at the Emirates in November last year. Arsenal's last 10 visits to Turf Moor in the Premier League have ended without a loss, though 50% of them ended in draws.

Match Forecast: Burnley vs Arsenal

Although Burnley has somewhat improved their home results in recent weeks, it's unlikely they will give Arsenal tough competition. The Gunners, who are in pursuit of the title victory, have been performing exceptionally away from home and cannot afford setbacks. Otherwise, they might fall grievously behind the leading Liverpool. My prediction is a win for the favourites with a -1.5 handicap.

Total Goals Forecast

Arsenal scores two goals per away game this season, whilst the Clarets have conceded a staggering 50 goals in 24 match weeks. We confidently bet on Arsenal's individual total over 2 goals.

Corner Kicks Forecast

Arsenal, who will undoubtedly have the initiative, should win in all key statistics, including corner kicks (handicap -2.5).

Yellow Cards Forecast

Significantly lagging in class, Burnley will be forced to commit many fouls, disrupting the Gunners' attacking tempo. The hosts should win the yellow cards tally.

Score Forecast

I'll bet on a precise scoreline of 0:3 in favour of Arsenal.