On Thursday, 27 June, as part of the 12th round of the Brazilian Serie A, “Corinthians” will host “Cuiabá”. The hosts have had an unexpectedly poor start to the season and have settled into the relegation zone, while the yellow-greens are just three points above them.
The match is set to take place in São Paulo at the Neo Química Arena.
This season, “Corinthians” is simply unrecognisable, and their current streak of seven matches in the championship without a victory is a testament to that. The hosts have lost three of them: first to “Flamengo” (2:0), then to “Botafogo” (1:0), and most recently to “Internacional” (1:0). Last weekend, the black-and-whites avoided catastrophe in the last minute by drawing 1:1 with “Athletico Paranaense”: after Cristian's goal in the first half, Kaka responded in the dying minutes.
As a result, Antonio Oliveira’s charges have dropped to 18th place in the Brazilian Serie A standings, just one point above the relegation zone. Having lost just one of their last 10 matches at home, the hosts rank only 15th overall in this metric (due to frequent draws, they've earned just six points in five home games). It’s worth noting that “Corinthians” have scored only eight goals in 11 matches and haven’t kept a single clean sheet in their last five games.
“Cuiabá” sits outside the relegation zone in 14th place. Over the last six rounds of Serie A, the yellow-greens have lost just once, winning three times – against “Criciúma” (2-5), “Fortaleza” (5:0), and “São Paulo” (0:1). Last weekend, the visitors had to settle for a point against “Atlético Goianiense,” which ended in a goalless draw. Peti’s side spent much of the game defending, with only a stellar performance by their goalkeeper preventing a loss.
Interestingly, “Cuiabá” has won three of their last four away matches across all competitions, putting them in a respectable ninth place overall in this metric (six points in five games, seven goals scored, nine conceded). Regarding their attack, the visitors aren’t doing too badly: they’ve scored 12 goals in the last five rounds (the second-best in the division). On the absentee list are Lacerda (4 matches) and Deiverson (1 appearance), both injured.
The teams met each other in October last year, with “Corinthians” claiming an away victory with a score of 0:1.
“Corinthians” needs to start picking up points urgently to avoid getting stuck in the relegation zone. While betting on a victory for the red-blacks tonight might be tempting, one must remember that “Cuiabá” performs quite well away. The yellow-greens have been a pleasant surprise at the start of the season and remain unbeaten in their last three rounds. I'll take a risk and bet on a double outcome in favour of the underdog.
As mentioned earlier, “Cuiabá” has scored 12 goals in their last five rounds - the second-best in the division (after “Palmeiras”). Given “Corinthians’” struggles in recent weeks, betting on the visitors to score seems a safe bet.
With the support of their home crowd, “Corinthians” will play on the front foot and seize control of the ball from the start. I bet on a victory for the hosts in all key metrics, including corners.
“Corinthians” averages 2.6 yellow cards per game this campaign, while the visitors average 3. I’m betting that the yellow-greens will come out on top in terms of cautions.
I predict a final score of 1:1.
# | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | G | PTS | |
1 | Botafogo | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 30 | 59:29 | 79 | |
2 | Palmeiras | 38 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 60:33 | 73 | |
3 | Flamengo | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 19 | 61:42 | 70 | |
4 | Fortaleza | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 53:39 | 68 | |
5 | Internacional | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 53:36 | 65 | |
6 | Sao Paulo | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 53:43 | 59 | |
7 | Corinthians | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 54:45 | 56 | |
8 | Bahia | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 0 | 49:49 | 53 | |
9 | Cruzeiro | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 43:41 | 52 | |
10 | Vasco da Gama | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 43:56 | 50 | |
11 | Vitoria | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | -7 | 45:52 | 47 | |
12 | Atletico Mineiro | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 47:54 | 47 | |
13 | Fluminense | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 33:39 | 46 | |
14 | Gremio | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | -6 | 44:50 | 45 | |
15 | Juventude | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -11 | 48:59 | 45 | |
16 | RB Bragantino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | -4 | 44:48 | 44 | |
17 | Athletico Paranaense | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -6 | 40:46 | 42 | |
18 | Criciuma | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | -19 | 42:61 | 38 | |
19 | Atletico Goianiense | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -29 | 29:58 | 30 | |
20 | Cuiaba | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -20 | 29:49 | 30 | |
1 | Fortaleza | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 32:8 | 47 | |
2 | Botafogo | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 31:13 | 41 | |
3 | Sao Paulo | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 31:18 | 39 | |
4 | Palmeiras | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 34:16 | 38 | |
5 | Flamengo | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 30:21 | 38 | |
6 | Internacional | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 30:15 | 38 | |
7 | Corinthians | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 37:18 | 38 | |
8 | Bahia | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 25:15 | 36 | |
9 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 29:16 | 35 | |
10 | Vasco da Gama | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 29:24 | 35 | |
11 | RB Bragantino | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 27:19 | 31 | |
12 | Juventude | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 27:24 | 30 | |
13 | Fluminense | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 20:16 | 29 | |
14 | Gremio | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 26:26 | 29 | |
15 | Atletico Mineiro | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 27:26 | 28 | |
16 | Vitoria | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 23:23 | 27 | |
17 | Athletico Paranaense | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 24:21 | 25 | |
18 | Criciuma | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 22:27 | 23 | |
19 | Atletico Goianiense | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 16:24 | 20 | |
20 | Cuiaba | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 16:23 | 14 | |
1 | Botafogo | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 28:16 | 38 | |
2 | Palmeiras | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 26:17 | 35 | |
3 | Flamengo | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 31:21 | 32 | |
4 | Internacional | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 23:21 | 27 | |
5 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 21:31 | 21 | |
6 | Sao Paulo | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 22:25 | 20 | |
7 | Vitoria | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 22:29 | 20 | |
8 | Atletico Mineiro | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 20:28 | 19 | |
9 | Corinthians | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 17:27 | 18 | |
10 | Bahia | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 24:34 | 17 | |
11 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 14:25 | 17 | |
12 | Fluminense | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 13:23 | 17 | |
13 | Athletico Paranaense | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 16:25 | 17 | |
14 | Gremio | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 18:24 | 16 | |
15 | Cuiaba | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 13:26 | 16 | |
16 | Vasco da Gama | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 14:32 | 15 | |
17 | Juventude | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 21:35 | 15 | |
18 | Criciuma | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 20:34 | 15 | |
19 | RB Bragantino | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 17:29 | 13 | |
20 | Atletico Goianiense | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 13:34 | 10 |
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