On Monday, 24 June, as part of the 11th round of the Brazilian Serie A, Palmeiras will host Juventude. The home team is currently second in the standings and could claim the top spot with a victory, while the visitors are in 11th place and six points clear of the relegation zone.
The match will take place in São Paulo at Allianz Parque.
Last week, Palmeiras secured a 2-1 victory against Red Bull Bragantino. Abel Ferreira's men went into halftime with a slight advantage after a goal from Rafael Veiga, but Mateus Fernandes soon levelled for the visitors. Rony clinched all three points for the green-and-whites with a goal in the 10th minute of added time in the second half. As a result, the hosts have climbed to second place in the standings, just one point behind leaders Flamengo. Despite having earned only seven points in five Serie A home matches (just the 12th best record in the division), the hosts will have to work hard tonight.
Notably, Palmeiras comfortably topped their group in the Copa Libertadores and advanced directly to the round of 16 in the continental championship. It's worth mentioning that the team has conceded only five goals in the first 10 rounds – the best record in the division (tied with Internacional). However, their 13 goals scored are fewer than any team in the current Serie A top five.
Last week, Juventude earned their first victory in three matches, defeating Vasco da Gama 0-2 on Thursday. After a relatively calm first half, Roger Machado's men took the lead through Lucas Barbosa and secured the win with a late goal from Jean Carlos. With 13 points from nine rounds, the visitors are in 11th place, four points behind Cruzeiro in the battle for the top six. Notably, Juventude has failed to register a win in their last five away matches, and in terms of away points, they rank a modest 16th overall (just 2 points from 4 matches, 4 goals scored, 9 conceded).
Juventude has the second-worst scoring record among the top 11 teams in the league (only 11 goals, fewer only than Internacional). Fans will be pleased to know that their team hasn't conceded more than one goal per game in five of their last six matches across all competitions.
Palmeiras secured back-to-back victories over Juventude in 2022, with the visitors having not defeated their opponents in 17 years!
Palmeiras is in excellent form and will undoubtedly aim to grab all three points in the race for the top spot in Serie A. Juventude struggles away from home, having earned just two points in four away matches. I expect a dominant performance from the home side and confidently back a win with a -1 handicap.
Palmeiras has scored at least two goals in each of their last four matches and boasts a potent attack led by Rony. It's unlikely that Juventude will be able to withstand their onslaught, so I am betting on the home side's individual total over 1.5 goals.
Palmeiras outclasses Juventude and is highly motivated by the prospect of leading the table. The hosts will likely start their assault early, so I am backing their individual total over 5.5 corners.
Juventude will have to defend a lot, which means they will likely commit more fouls. I am betting on the underdog to win the yellow card battle.
I am predicting a 2-0 win for Palmeiras.
# | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | G | PTS | |
1 | Botafogo | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 47:25 | 60 | |
2 | Palmeiras | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 46:20 | 57 | |
3 | Fortaleza | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 38:29 | 55 | |
4 | Flamengo | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 45:32 | 51 | |
5 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 38:32 | 47 | |
6 | Internacional | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 37:26 | 46 | |
7 | Bahia | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 39:33 | 45 | |
8 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 35:29 | 43 | |
9 | Vasco da Gama | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | -6 | 32:38 | 37 | |
10 | Atletico Mineiro | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | -2 | 38:40 | 37 | |
11 | Gremio | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -3 | 32:35 | 35 | |
12 | Criciuma | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 36:42 | 35 | |
13 | RB Bragantino | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -4 | 34:38 | 34 | |
14 | Juventude | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -6 | 33:39 | 34 | |
15 | Athletico Paranaense | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -4 | 27:31 | 31 | |
16 | Fluminense | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 22:30 | 30 | |
17 | Vitoria | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | -12 | 32:44 | 29 | |
18 | Corinthians | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -9 | 29:38 | 29 | |
19 | Cuiaba | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -14 | 25:39 | 26 | |
20 | Atletico Goianiense | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -25 | 22:47 | 21 | |
1 | Fortaleza | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25:7 | 39 | |
2 | Palmeiras | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 30:10 | 34 | |
3 | Botafogo | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 24:10 | 32 | |
4 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 23:13 | 32 | |
5 | Bahia | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 21:9 | 32 | |
6 | Flamengo | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 21:13 | 30 | |
7 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 24:10 | 30 | |
8 | Juventude | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21:13 | 26 | |
9 | Internacional | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:12 | 25 | |
10 | Vasco da Gama | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 21:19 | 25 | |
11 | RB Bragantino | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 20:15 | 25 | |
12 | Corinthians | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:14 | 23 | |
13 | Gremio | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 19:19 | 22 | |
14 | Criciuma | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 19:18 | 22 | |
15 | Atletico Mineiro | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21:19 | 21 | |
16 | Fluminense | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14:12 | 20 | |
17 | Vitoria | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 16:19 | 17 | |
18 | Athletico Paranaense | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 15:16 | 15 | |
19 | Cuiaba | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 13:16 | 14 | |
20 | Atletico Goianiense | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 12:22 | 12 | |
1 | Botafogo | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 23:15 | 28 | |
2 | Palmeiras | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:10 | 23 | |
3 | Flamengo | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 24:19 | 21 | |
4 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:14 | 21 | |
5 | Fortaleza | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 13:22 | 16 | |
6 | Atletico Mineiro | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17:21 | 16 | |
7 | Athletico Paranaense | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12:15 | 16 | |
8 | Sao Paulo | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 15:19 | 15 | |
9 | Bahia | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 18:24 | 13 | |
10 | Cruzeiro | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 11:19 | 13 | |
11 | Gremio | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 13:16 | 13 | |
12 | Criciuma | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 17:24 | 13 | |
13 | Vasco da Gama | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 11:19 | 12 | |
14 | Vitoria | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 16:25 | 12 | |
15 | Cuiaba | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 12:23 | 12 | |
16 | Fluminense | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 8:18 | 10 | |
17 | RB Bragantino | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 14:23 | 9 | |
18 | Atletico Goianiense | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 10:25 | 9 | |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 12:26 | 8 | |
20 | Corinthians | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 7:24 | 6 |
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