On Monday, 24 June, as part of Matchday 11 of the Brazilian Serie A, "Bragantino" will host "Vitoria" on their home ground. The red and blacks have managed to secure two consecutive victories following a dismal start to the new campaign, while the "Bulls" are currently ninth in the overall standings and eager to cement their place among the top six.
The match will take place in Braganca Paulista at the Nabi Abi Chedid Stadium.
Bragantino suffered their second consecutive defeat against Palmeiras this year, succumbing to Abel Ferreira's side 2-1 last Friday. Rafael Veiga and Rony each scored a goal, and Mateus Fernandes equalised in the 49th minute. The "Bulls" have lost two of their last three matches, with a 2-1 victory over Juventude on 15 June sandwiched between them, and have failed to win five of their last seven Serie A fixtures since late April. With 15 points from their first 10 games, Pedro Caixinha's team sits eighth in the standings but could match fourth-placed Atletico Paranaense with a win on Sunday.
It's important to note that the hosts have lost just one of their last 15 home matches across all competitions since early February, securing 11 victories and drawing three times. The red and whites have conceded 11 goals so far this season – only Sao Paulo has a worse record (13) among the top nine in the league standings.
After a rocky start to the season, Vitoria has shown a resurgence in recent weeks. Last week, the team handed Atletico Mineiro only their second defeat of the campaign (4-2) thanks to goals from Mateusinho, Eric Castillo, and a brace from Willian Oliveira. Prior to that, the red and blacks secured their first championship victory on 16 June, defeating Internacional 2-1 at home, ending an 11-match winless run across all competitions.
With these triumphs, the visitors are unbeaten in their last four matches, with two wins and two draws. Thiago Carpini's men occupy the 15th spot in the Serie A table with nine points, level with 14th-placed Criciuma. Notably, Vitoria is only 15th in the overall standings for points gained on the road (just 2 points from four away matches). Furthermore, the visitors have conceded 17 goals in their 10 matches – only Fluminense and Vasco da Gama have worse records.
Vitoria has lost all four of their last away matches against Bragantino, conceding seven goals and scoring just once since a 2-2 draw in October 2011.
Bragantino will be eager to return to winning ways tonight, but it won't be an easy task. Vitoria has been on an upward trajectory in recent weeks, remaining undefeated in their last four matches across all competitions. The "Bulls" are unlikely to have an easy victory, so I'll back the underdog with a +1.5 handicap.
Vitoria has netted 12 goals in their first 10 matches and excels on the counter-attack. The hosts have not been solid defensively, so I'll bet on the visitors' individual total over 0.5 goals.
With the support of their home crowd, Bragantino is expected to take the initiative and attack more. I back the "Bulls" to win on corners.
Vitoria will need to defend heavily, thus likely committing more fouls. I back the red and blacks to win on yellow cards.
I predict a final score of 1-1.
# | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | G | PTS | |
1 | Flamengo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15:2 | 14 | |
2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:3 | 13 | |
3 | RB Bragantino | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:5 | 13 | |
4 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 | |
5 | Fluminense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:6 | 10 | |
6 | Internacional | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:4 | 9 | |
7 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 6:7 | 9 | |
8 | Botafogo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:4 | 8 | |
9 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 8 | |
10 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 | |
11 | Vasco da Gama | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 6:8 | 7 | |
12 | Corinthians | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 6:10 | 7 | |
13 | Juventude | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 7:14 | 7 | |
14 | Mirassol | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 7 | |
15 | Fortaleza | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 6 | |
16 | Vitoria | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 7:9 | 6 | |
17 | Atletico Mineiro | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6:8 | 6 | |
18 | Gremio | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5:11 | 5 | |
19 | Santos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7:9 | 4 | |
20 | Sport Recife | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 3:8 | 2 | |
1 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 | |
2 | Flamengo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 7 | |
3 | RB Bragantino | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 | |
4 | Fluminense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 | |
5 | Botafogo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 | |
6 | Ceara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 | |
7 | Vasco da Gama | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 | |
8 | Juventude | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 | |
9 | Internacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 | |
10 | Corinthians | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 | |
11 | Bahia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 | |
12 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 | |
13 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 5 | |
14 | Atletico Mineiro | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 | |
15 | Palmeiras | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 | |
16 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 | |
17 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 4 | |
18 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 4 | |
19 | Santos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 4 | |
20 | Sport Recife | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:3 | 1 | |
1 | Palmeiras | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 9 | |
2 | Flamengo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 | |
3 | RB Bragantino | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 | |
4 | Bahia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:5 | 4 | |
5 | Fluminense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:4 | 3 | |
6 | Internacional | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 | |
7 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 | |
8 | Mirassol | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:5 | 2 | |
9 | Fortaleza | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 2 | |
10 | Vitoria | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:5 | 2 | |
11 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 1 | |
12 | Botafogo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0:2 | 1 | |
13 | Ceara | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 1 | |
14 | Corinthians | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:7 | 1 | |
15 | Atletico Mineiro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:6 | 1 | |
16 | Gremio | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:7 | 1 | |
17 | Sport Recife | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:5 | 1 | |
18 | Vasco da Gama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:6 | 0 | |
19 | Juventude | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:11 | 0 | |
20 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:5 | 0 |
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