Flamengo - Bahia predictions and free betting tips [20/06/2024]

On Friday, 21st June, as part of the 10th round of the Brazilian Serie A, Flamengo will host Bahia at their home ground. Both teams have 18 points, but the hosts are higher in the standings due to a better goal difference.

Stadium

The match will take place in Rio de Janeiro at the Maracana Stadium.

Flamengo

Flamengo narrowly avoided disaster in their match against Atletico Paranaense, conceding a penalty in the stoppage time of the second half, but Gustavo Fernandes Araujo equalised in the 99th minute. Tite's men started the championship well but dropped the top spot in the standings after a draw in the last round. The Red-Blacks are in second place overall with 18 points, trailing leaders Botafogo by one point.

The seven-time national champions are unbeaten in their last seven encounters across all competitions, though their sole defeat in the league came at home against Botafogo. Despite their overall strong performance, Flamengo ranks only seventh in the home points tally (9 points in 4 home matches). The team boasts a solid defence, conceding only three goals in their last seven matches, with four clean sheets; moreover, Flamengo scores, on average, two goals per game. 

Bahia

Bahia is unbeaten in their last eight league matches, having started the current campaign in Brazilian Serie A impressively. In their latest outing, Rogério Ceni's team came back from a two-goal deficit to draw 2-2 with Criciuma. Goals from Marcelo Hermes and Arthur put the opponent ahead, but Everaldo Stum and Caio Alexandre restored parity on the scoreboard. After a setback in the opening match of the championship against Internacional (2-1), Bahia is unbeaten in five consecutive away games, including a triumph over league leaders Botafogo.

It's also noteworthy that the Red-Blues haven't lost in their last five away fixtures, including a 2-0 victory over Criciuma in the Brazilian Cup in early May, ranking 10th overall in away points. The visitors maintain a robust defence, keeping six clean sheets in their last nine matches across all competitions, and have scored in 14 of their last 15 encounters. 

Head-to-Head

In the last five years, Flamengo has dominated head-to-head matches against Bahia, claiming seven consecutive wins, including the previous encounter in September last year (1-0).

Match Prediction: Flamengo vs Bahia

Based on the current form of the teams, we are in for a clash between two evenly matched adversaries. However, despite their strong position in the standings, Bahia has only one victory in five away matches. On the other hand, Flamengo has shown some vulnerability at home this campaign (collecting just nine points in four games), so I risk predicting a draw.

Total Goals Prediction

Both teams boast strong attacking lines and are averaging 1.5 goals per game in this Brazilian Serie A season. In seven of the last eight head-to-head matches, the total of 2.5 goals has been surpassed, and this will likely be the case again.

Corner Kicks Prediction

Flamengo averages 7 corner kicks per game this season, while the Red-Blues average 4.6. Confidently bet on the home side to triumph in this indicator with a handicap of -1.5.

Yellow Cards Prediction

In the last three head-to-head meetings between these teams, 17 yellow and seven (!) red cards were shown. Confidently bet on the total number of ejections being over 0.5.

Correct Score Prediction

I'll bet on a 2-1 win for Flamengo.