On Thursday, 6 June, in a rescheduled match of the second round of the Brazilian Championship, "Cuiabá" will host "Vitória" at their home ground. Both teams have yet to achieve a single victory in the current campaign and are deservedly at the very bottom of the standings, making this match crucial in the battle for survival.
The match will take place in Cuiabá at the Arena Pantanal stadium.
"Cuiabá" had a poor start to the season, suffering five defeats at the outset, which led to the appointment of Petti to the coaching staff. The Portuguese manager's first match in the Brazilian Serie A ended in a 1-0 defeat to "Internacional" for the hosts, but the 47-year-old believes he will eventually restore the team's former form. Hugo Mallo's singular goal in the 69th minute decided the encounter. Nevertheless, the yellow-greens are at the very bottom of the standings with zero points, zero goals scored, and 11 goals conceded.
However, in other tournaments, the hosts are doing much better: in the Copa Sudamericana, the team finished second in group G and advanced to the playoffs, though they were knocked out in the 1/16 finals of the Brazilian Cup by "Goiás" after a penalty shoot-out. Despite their poor results in the national championship, "Cuiabá" has only lost once in their last six matches and has not conceded more than one goal per game since early May (six matches now).
"Vitória" has not had the best of returns to the top division, losing five of their first six matches and still searching for their first win. The team sits second from bottom, 19th overall, with only one point to their name. Their dismal run led to Thiago Carpini replacing Léo Condé as head coach in mid-May, but the change has not improved results. Under Carpini, "Vitória" suffered two consecutive defeats: losing 2-1 to "Botafogo" in the Brazilian Cup and 0-2 to "Atletico Goianiense" in the league.
In the first half, Wagner Love opened the scoring, and Baralhas doubled the advantage after the break. Moreover, it has been ten full matches since "Vitória" last celebrated success – 1-0 against "Fortaleza" and 3-0 against "Treze". It should be noted that the red-and-blacks, although having lost their last three away matches, managed to score in seven of their previous eight matches across all competitions on foreign soil.
The last time these teams faced each other was in December 2020, resulting in a thrilling 3-3 draw. Prior to that, "Vitória" had celebrated two victories in head-to-head encounters.
Despite not having won a match in the Brazilian Championship since the start of the season, under Petti's guidance, the hosts are showing signs of life and are gradually beginning to recover. "Vitória", on the other hand, is in deep crisis, having lost six consecutive matches across all competitions. I can't see what could change for the visitors overnight; therefore, my bet is on a triumph for the yellow-greens with a handicap of 0.
"Vitória" has conceded 13 goals in the first six rounds (the second-worst in the league), while the hosts have found the net in four of their last five home matches. I place a bet on Cuiabá's individual total over 1 goal.
Playing at home with the support of their fans, "Cuiabá" will be more attacking and aggressive, so I bet on a yellow-green victory in corners.
Both teams are fighting for survival and understand the importance of securing three points in this face-off, so I predict a total yellow card count over 4.5.
I predict a 2-0 scoreline in favour of "Cuiabá".
# | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | G | PTS | |
1 | Botafogo | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 43:24 | 50 | |
2 | Fortaleza | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 30:22 | 48 | |
3 | Palmeiras | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 38:19 | 47 | |
4 | Flamengo | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 39:28 | 44 | |
5 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 | |
6 | Sao Paulo | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 33:26 | 41 | |
7 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 39 | |
8 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | -5 | 29:34 | 34 | |
9 | Atletico Mineiro | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | -1 | 32:33 | 33 | |
10 | Internacional | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 22:19 | 32 | |
11 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -1 | 29:30 | 30 | |
12 | Athletico Paranaense | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -2 | 26:28 | 29 | |
13 | Juventude | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29:35 | 29 | |
14 | Criciuma | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 32:35 | 28 | |
15 | Gremio | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | -5 | 23:28 | 27 | |
16 | Fluminense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -6 | 20:26 | 27 | |
17 | Corinthians | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -9 | 22:31 | 25 | |
18 | Vitoria | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | -13 | 26:39 | 22 | |
19 | Cuiaba | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 23:35 | 22 | |
20 | Atletico Goianiense | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -19 | 21:40 | 18 | |
1 | Fortaleza | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:6 | 33 | |
2 | Cruzeiro | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23:8 | 29 | |
3 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19:9 | 29 | |
4 | Botafogo | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22:9 | 28 | |
5 | Palmeiras | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 23:9 | 28 | |
6 | Flamengo | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19:12 | 26 | |
7 | Bahia | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17:7 | 26 | |
8 | Vasco da Gama | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20:17 | 24 | |
9 | RB Bragantino | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16:11 | 22 | |
10 | Juventude | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18:11 | 22 | |
11 | Corinthians | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17:12 | 19 | |
12 | Criciuma | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17:18 | 18 | |
13 | Atletico Mineiro | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:17 | 17 | |
14 | Fluminense | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:11 | 17 | |
15 | Internacional | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:10 | 16 | |
16 | Gremio | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 12:14 | 16 | |
17 | Athletico Paranaense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 14:14 | 14 | |
18 | Vitoria | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 15:19 | 14 | |
19 | Cuiaba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 11:16 | 10 | |
20 | Atletico Goianiense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 11:20 | 9 | |
1 | Botafogo | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 21:15 | 22 | |
2 | Palmeiras | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:10 | 19 | |
3 | Flamengo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 20:16 | 18 | |
4 | Atletico Mineiro | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16:16 | 16 | |
5 | Internacional | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:9 | 16 | |
6 | Fortaleza | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:16 | 15 | |
7 | Athletico Paranaense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:14 | 15 | |
8 | Bahia | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 17:20 | 13 | |
9 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 11:18 | 12 | |
10 | Sao Paulo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 14:17 | 12 | |
11 | Cuiaba | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:19 | 12 | |
12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11:14 | 11 | |
13 | Vasco da Gama | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9:17 | 10 | |
14 | Criciuma | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 15:17 | 10 | |
15 | Fluminense | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 7:15 | 10 | |
16 | Atletico Goianiense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 10:20 | 9 | |
17 | RB Bragantino | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 13:19 | 8 | |
18 | Vitoria | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 11:20 | 8 | |
19 | Juventude | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 11:24 | 7 | |
20 | Corinthians | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 5:19 | 6 |
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