On Tuesday, 2 July, as part of the third round of the group stage of Copa America, the Bolivian national team will face the Panama national team. A 5-0 defeat to Uruguay last week dropped the Bolivians to the bottom of Group C, while "Los Canaleros" defeated the USA and, due to goal difference, hold second place.
By the second round, Bolivia found itself on the brink of elimination from the tournament and played against one of the Copa America's favourites, Uruguay, so the final thrashing score surprised no one (a 5-0 defeat). Moreover, the tricolours could not compete with the USA in the first match (a 2-0 defeat), so their current last place in the group is well-deserved. The Bolivians now have a dismal series of 13 consecutive matches without a win in the Copa America group stage, starting from 2015, with six of the previous matches ending with no goals scored. This is not surprising, considering the team has won only two of the last 16 matches in all competitions, suffering 13 defeats! The latest defeats occurred during the preparation period for Copa America – against Mexico (1-0), Ecuador (3-1), and Colombia (3-0) in friendlies. Interestingly, the Bolivians have not beaten CONCACAF opponents since 2022 when they defeated Trinidad and Tobago (5-0).
Panama also couldn't afford to slip up last Friday against the USA, and thanks to Weah's foolish red card early on, they managed to snatch three points. The Stars and Stripes took the lead in the first half through Balogun, but the Panamanians equalised, and Fajardo then scored the winning goal. Statistically, the tricolours fully justified their triumph, holding 74% possession, the highest among all CONCACAF teams in this tournament since 2011. Like Bolivia, Panama started their campaign with a defeat to Uruguay (3-1). In the final third round, Thomas Christiansen's team might need help from Marcelo Bielsa and company to advance: the Canaleros have a goal difference of -1, while the USA has +1, so the underdogs need to achieve a better result than the tournament hosts. Before the start of Copa, the nominal guests played a friendly match against Paraguay (a 1-0 defeat), and in March participated in the final stage of the Nations League A, where they lost to Mexico in the semi-final (3-0) and to Jamaica in the third-place match (1-0).
These teams have met five times in their history, with Panama having the advantage – 4 wins against 1 for Bolivia.
The Bolivian team has no choice in the final round but to try to score at least one point before an early exit. Panama, after a sensational victory over the USA, now has every chance to reach the playoffs: the tricolours need to win or draw and hope Uruguay does everything possible to triumph over the Stars and Stripes in the parallel match. Considering the difference in motivation, it makes sense to bet on the victory of the nominal away team.
The Bolivian team is in deep crisis, having conceded 13 goals in the last four matches in all competitions! Considering that Panama needs to take all three points to advance to the playoffs, it makes sense to bet on their individual total over 1.5 goals.
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