On Tuesday, June 25, in the third round of the Euro 2024 group stage, the Netherlands will face Austria. The Oranjes have four points after a draw with France, while Ralf Rangnick's team is third and eager to secure a place in the playoffs.
Netherlands: Verbruggen; Dumfries, De Vrij, Van Dijk, Ake; Reijnders, Schouten; Frimpong, Simons, Gakpo; Depay.
.Austria: Pentz; Posch, Danso, Lienhart, Mwene; Seiwald, Laimer; Wimmer, Baumgartner, Sabitzer; Gregoritsch.
The match will take place in Berlin at Olympiastadion.
The Netherlands have almost secured a playoff berth and are now battling for the top spot with France. The Oranjes couldn't break through Deschamps' defensive block in the second round, resulting in the first goalless draw of the current Euros (0-0). In their opening match, Ronald Koeman's team defeated a rather middling Polish side without Robert Lewandowski (1-2), not overly impressing with their performance. Nonetheless, with four points in hand, the Dutch remain at the top of Group D. Earlier in June, the Netherlands won two friendlies with identical scores (4-0) against Canada and Iceland.
Having won the European Championship only once in their history (1988), the Oranje are eager to surpass their performance three years ago, when the team reached only the round of 16 (losing to the Czech Republic). The nominal hosts performed admirably at the 2022 World Cup, exiting at the quarter-final stage to eventual champions Argentina. Interestingly, since the 2014 World Cup, the Netherlands have not lost in the group stages of major tournaments, winning nine of 11 matches and scoring in all but the draw with France.
Austria had many reasons for optimism heading into the tournament, considering their recent results. However, following an excellent seven-match unbeaten run in all competitions, Ralf Rangnick's side fell to France, losing 0-1 due to an own goal. On Friday evening, Das Team triumphed over Poland (3-1), keeping the white-reds in contention for a top-two finish. Gernot Trauner opened the scoring, and Christoph Baumgartner and Marko Arnautović sealed the result in the second half. A victory over the Netherlands on Tuesday guarantees the nominal visitors at least second place in the final Group D standings, and possibly first if France fails to beat Poland. Conversely, a loss could see the Austrians finish third and risk missing out on the playoffs. Notably, until 2008, Austria had never qualified for the European Championships, and their best result was reaching the round of 16 in their previous continental tournament. Incidentally, the Austrians could win two consecutive matches in major tournaments for the first time since 1982 on Wednesday!
The Netherlands have never lost to Austria in the 21st century, winning all six head-to-head encounters in the modern era. The last time these teams met was at Euro 2020, where the Oranjes won 2-0.
Despite the evident progress under Ralf Rangnick, Austria can hardly consider themselves favourites in the upcoming match. The Oranjes boast an excellent squad despite many injuries, and Koeman's side is pleasing to the eye – only their finishing lets them down. I don't expect a surprise here and back the "Tulips" to triumph.
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