Tajikistan - Pakistan predictions and free betting tips [11/06/2024]

On Tuesday, June 11th, in the 6th round of the World Cup 2026 qualifiers, the Tajikistan national team will face the Pakistan national team. The hosts have garnered five points and are currently third in the standings, while the visitors are languishing at the bottom, having failed to secure a single point in their five initial encounters.

Stadium

The match will be held in Dushanbe at Pamir Stadium.

Tajikistan

Despite a respectable performance in Group G – with only 2 losses in their first 5 matches – Tajikistan can no longer hope to break into the top 2. The hosts trail second-placed Jordan by 5 points, having suffered a heavy defeat last week (3-0). Earlier in March, the "Lions of Persia" narrowly lost to Saudi Arabia (1-0) and then drew with the same team in the return fixture (1-1). Last November, the tricoloured team triumphed over Pakistan (1-6).

It is important to note that former coach Petar Segrt led Tajikistan to the quarter-finals of the Asian Cup last winter, a significant achievement for the country. However, the team is now under the management of Georgian specialist Gela Shekiladze. Tajikistan's home performance has been mediocre at best, securing just one victory in their last eight home matches across all competitions. The squad lacks real stars, mainly consisting of domestic players. 

Pakistan

Pakistan has faced significant struggles in this qualifying group, failing to secure a single point in their first five matches – similar to Nepal and Chinese Taipei. Worse still, the visitors have scored just once while conceding 23 goals, averaging over 4 per game (only Myanmar fares worse). These challenges were highlighted by recent defeats to Jordan in March (0-3 and 7-0) and Saudi Arabia (0-3) last week.

It is noteworthy that Pakistan has won only one of their last 19 matches across all competitions and has not claimed an away victory since a 1-0 triumph over Nepal in September 2018. Furthermore, the green and white have managed to score just one goal in their last 11 away games. The Pakistani squad is relatively weak and inexperienced. 

Head-to-Head

In the first round, Tajikistan thrashed Pakistan away with a 1-6 scoreline. The previous two encounters also ended in favour of the red and green team.

Prediction for Tajikistan vs Pakistan

Pakistan approaches this match with one of the worst defensive records in the Asian qualifiers, so the hosts shouldn't face difficulties on Tuesday. Of course, the red and green have lost their chances of finishing in the top two, but home support can always boost player motivation. My prediction is a triumph for the favourites with a -3.5 handicap.

Prediction for Total

The Pakistan national team has been conceding an average of four goals per game in these qualifiers and faces enormous organisational issues. I predict the hosts to score over 3.5 goals in total.

Prediction for Corners

As rightful hosts, the Tajikistan team will dominate and play offensively. I expect at least four corners from the red and green in the first half.

Prediction for Yellow Cards

Pakistan, significantly inferior in terms of class, will be forced to defend extensively. Therefore, I predict a victory for the visitors in the yellow card count.

Prediction for the Final Score

I predict a 4-0 victory for the Tajikistan national team.