On Sunday, June 9th, as part of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers, Mauritania will face the national team of Senegal. Amir Abdu's charges have only garnered one point out of a possible nine. Meanwhile, the Tricolours are second in the standings, motivated to surpass Sudan in the race for a direct ticket to the World Cup.
The match will be held at the Sheikh Ould Boidiya Stadium in Nouakchott.
This week, Mauritania faced Sudan and lost 0-2, barely creating dangerous moments at the opponent’s goal: Bahit's accurate strike came in the 15th minute, while an own goal by Abed marked the mid-first half. Before this setback, the hosts played three matches without a win, including a 0-2 defeat to Mali in a friendly in March and a goalless draw with Morocco. It's worth recalling that the team participated in the African Cup of Nations, reaching the Round of 16 where they were eliminated by Cape Verde (1-0).
Mauritania has won only one of their last 11 matches across all competitions, with seven losses; moreover, the red-greens suffered four defeats in their previous five home matches. The coaching staff is also concerned that their charges haven’t scored in their last four encounters. Mauritania can count on a line-up similar to the one that competed in the Africa Cup: a victory over Algeria in the group stage allowed them to qualify for the Round of 16.
In the third round, Senegal hosted DR Congo but couldn't secure a victory: Ismaila Sarr opened the scoring just before halftime, but on the 85th minute, Fiston Mayele equalised (1:1). The Senegalese likely should have claimed all three points had Nicolas Jackson converted his late-game chance. As a result, the Yellow-Greens remain second in the group standings, trailing leaders Sudan by two points. Recall that the “Lions of Teranga” won two important friendlies during the March break: against Benin (1:0) and Gabon (3:0).
Defending their crown as African champions, Senegal was eliminated in the Round of 16 of the continental championship by the eventual winner, Côte d'Ivoire. It's important to note that the national team has gone eight consecutive away matches without a loss; moreover, Senegal's scoring streak also spans these eight games.
Senegal triumphed in the last two head-to-head encounters without conceding a goal (1-0 and 2-0).
Mauritania is in a precarious position, and their disappointing track record (no wins in this qualifying stage) was capped by a mid-week defeat to Sudan. Senegal should have no trouble taking all three points on Sunday, despite the absence of Mané, and will put pressure on Sudan in the race for first place in Group B. The visitors significantly outclass their opponents in experience and talent, so I back the Tricolours to triumph.
Even without Mané, Senegal's attack boasts a galaxy of first-rate stars, while Mauritania has conceded nine goals in their last five home matches. I predict an individual total for the visitors of over 1.5 goals.
Senegal's superior class will likely see them dominate the match's proceedings, so I back the “Lions” to win the corners with a handicap of -1.5.
Mauritania is likely to commit numerous fouls to contain the star-studded attack of their opponents. I predict the home team will win the yellow card count.
I place a bet on the final score being 2-0 in favour of Senegal.
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