On Thursday, 6th June, in the fifth round of the World Cup 2026 qualifying tournament, Pakistan will host Saudi Arabia. If the visitors win, they can secure a spot in the third round of qualification, while the hosts, settled at the bottom and already out of contention, have no such prospects.
The match will be held at Jinnah Stadium in Islamabad.
Pakistan is one of the weakest football teams in Asia. After a series of 13 losses in friendlies, qualifiers, and other competitions, the Green Shirts finally managed to secure a victory against Cambodia and advance to the second round of the World Cup qualifiers. However, the bar proved to be too high: the hosts suffered heavy defeats against Saudi Arabia (4-0), Tajikistan (1-6), and twice against Jordan (0-3 and 7-0), thus settling at the bottom of Group G.
Furthermore, the team has conceded the most goals in the qualifiers so far (20), and in each of the last four matches, they have had to retrieve the ball from their net at least three times. Perhaps the only goal for this team in the remaining two rounds is to earn at least one point; however, at home, the Green Shirts have lost five of their last six matches in all competitions.
Having impressively navigated the group stage of the Asian Cup with two victories over Oman (2-1) and Kyrgyzstan (2-0) and a draw with Thailand (0-0), Saudi Arabia lost to South Korea on penalties in the round of 16. The country is determined to participate in the third consecutive World Cup and is demonstrating this determination in the current qualifiers: the Green Falcons easily triumphed over Jordan (0-2) and Pakistan (4-0), overcame Tajikistan (1-0) in the first match, and drew in the return fixture (1-1).
While Roberto Mancini's side could mathematically still fail to progress to the third round, they need just one point from their last two games to secure top spot in Group G. Saudi Arabia has conceded just one goal in four matches, with fewer goals conceded at this stage only by Japan and Australia. It is noteworthy that the favourites have not lost any of their previous six away matches in all competitions, securing four victories.
In the first round, Roberto Mancini's charges won 4-0 at home.
With zero points, 20 goals conceded, and 1 goal scored in 4 opening rounds, Pakistan is unlikely to withstand the superior Saudi national team. Roberto Mancini's side will be keen to secure their place in the next qualifying round and will not delay matters. I predict a comprehensive victory for the visitors with a -3.5 handicap.
Pakistan has conceded 20 goals in this campaign, the worst record among all participating teams. I bet on the visitors' individual total over 3.5 goals.
The visitors substantially outclass their opponents and will attack far more. I bet on Saudi Arabia's individual total corners in the first half over 3.5.
The hosts will spend a lot of time defending against the star-studded attack of their opponents. I bet on Pakistan to win on yellow cards with a -1.5 handicap.
I predict a final score of 0-4 in favour of Saudi Arabia.
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