In Thursday's match on 6 June, part of the fifth round of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers, Bangladesh will face Australia. The visitors secured two victories over Lebanon in March and are on the verge of advancing to the next qualification round, while the red-greens have already lost any chance of finishing in the top two.
The match will take place in Dhaka at the Bashundhara Kings Arena.
The number of Bangladesh's victories from 2023 to early 2024 can be counted on one hand, considering the hosts have won only five of their last 19 matches across all competitions. In this qualifying round, the red-greens have already lost any chance of success: they have not won a single game, suffering heavy defeats to Australia (7:0) and Palestine (5:0), including a home loss to Palestine (0:1) decided by Termini's goal in the 94th minute.
The only point Bangladesh has secured came from a 1:1 draw with Lebanon. In March, the team twice faced Sudan in friendlies, losing 3:0 after a goalless draw. It is hardly surprising that this team has failed to score in four consecutive matches, and their last time scoring more than one goal in a game was in October of the previous year. On home turf, however, the hosts perform quite decently: in their last six matches, they have lost only once while securing two victories.
Australia, having reached the round of 16 in the World Cup and narrowly losing to Argentina, eagerly awaits their return to the world’s biggest tournament in 2026. Currently, the "Kangaroos" are successfully navigating the qualification campaign, needing just one point to secure the top spot in their group, ahead of Palestine. The situation is straightforward: the white-blues have won all four of their opening matches without conceding a single goal, while scoring 15 themselves.
However, Australia experienced a minor setback in the Asian Cup in February, being knocked out in the quarter-finals by South Korea (1:2 after extra time). Goodwin scored in the first half, but Hwang Hee-chan equalised in the 96th minute; Son Heung-min's precise strike in extra time sealed the victory. Despite this, Graham Arnold's side remains unbeaten in their last four away matches across all competitions.
These teams have faced each other three times in history, and Australia emerged victorious in all three encounters (5:0, 0:4, and 7:0 in the first round).
Australia, which has never lost to Bangladesh and has been in excellent form throughout the qualifying campaign, is expected to easily secure all three points. Bangladesh significantly lags behind in class and has no real motivation for this tournament - they have no chance of finishing in the top two. My prediction is a win for the favourite with a handicap of -3.5.
Bangladesh has conceded 14 goals in four qualifying matches, so a goal fest from Australia is anticipated. I am betting on the individual total over 3.5 for the favourite.
Australia outclasses its opponent and will start the siege from the opening minutes. I am betting on the individual total over 3.5 corners for the "Kangaroos" in the first half.
The Bangladesh team will have to defend a lot, and it is almost impossible to do it without fouls. I am betting on the underdog to win in yellow cards with a handicap of -1.5.
I am predicting a 0:4 scoreline in favour of Australia.
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