Brighton and Hove Albion - AS Roma predictions and free betting tips [14/03/2024]

On Thursday, 14th March, within the scope of the second leg of the ⅛ finals of the Europa League, Brighton will be hosting Roma. After a devastating defeat last week in the Italian capital, Brighton has practically lost their chances of going any further. The upcoming match could just be a mere formality.   

Predicted Line-ups

Brighton: Steele; Lamptey, Dunk, Van Hecke, Estupinan; Gilmour, Gross; Adingra, Lallana, Fati; Welbeck.
Roma: Svilar; Celik, Mancini, Ndicka, Zalewski; Bove, Paredes, Pellegrini; Dybala, Lukaku, El Shaarawy.

Stadium

The match will take place in Brighton at the Amex Stadium.

Brighton

Last week, Brighton was routed in Rome with a 4:0 loss. Head coach De Zerbi holds scarce illusions about their chances of overturning the tie in the second leg. Paulo Dybala and Romelu Lukaku put Roma ahead in the first half, and Bryan Cristante and Gianluca Mancini extended in the second half. Surprisingly, the Seagulls secured a direct ⅛ final in the Europa League, getting past Marseille, Ajax, and AEK during the group stage.

Brighton is also lacklustre in the Premier League compared to last season, sitting only at the 8th position of the league table. The team has only claimed two victories in the last eight rounds. But they managed to overcome Nottingham Forest in crisis (1:0) last weekend. Nonetheless, the hosts extended their unbeaten streak at Amex to 12 games, only failing to score in one. 

Roma

Last week, Roma took a significant step towards the Europa League quarter-finals, beating Brighton 4:0. The capital club fully deserved this result, highlighting the soundness of a coaching shift, with the appointment of Daniele De Rossi in January signifying a revival of the wolves. Under Jose Mourinho, Roma didn't shine in the group stage (2nd in the quartet after Slavia Prague), but already eliminated strong Feyenoord in the playoff's first round in February (penalty shot victory).

In Serie A, Roma is gradually closing in on the Champions League zone, winning six out of the last seven matches. Last weekend, the wolves managed a draw against Fiorentina (2:2) thanks to a late goal by Diego Llorente. In the last seven away games in playoffs, the visitors remained without a victory. Additionally, Roma only managed one win in the previous 22 journeys to England. 

Head-to-Head Meetings

Last week's match ended in a smashing victory for Roma, with a score of 4:0. 

Match Prediction for Brighton v Roma

Roma doesn't perform particularly well in away games in Europe, while Brighton aspires to save face and at least partially rehabilitate themselves for their defeat in Rome in front of their home crowd. De Zerbi's pupils remain unbeaten at Amex for 12 consecutive games, while Roma will likely take the field without an excessive motivation, as the tie has already been decided. My prediction is a victory for the hosts.

Total Over/Under Prediction

Brighton hasn't scored more than a goal in four out of six recent home games, and Roma hasn't conceded more than a goal in five of the last six away fixtures. My bet is for the total number of goals to be under 3.

Corner Prediction

Brighton needs to recover from a four-goal handicap, meaning the Seagulls will immediately start to storm the opponent's net. I'm expecting a victory by corners from the home team.

Yellow Card Prediction

Neither team is known for aggressive play (three yellow cards total were shown in the first match). My betting choice is the total number of bookings to be under 3.5.

Score Prediction

I predict a precise score of 1:0 favouring Brighton.