Slovenia - Brazil predictions and free betting tips [28/06/2024]

Teams are gearing up for their final match in the preparatory cycle for the Olympic qualification.

Slovenia

The Slovenians are actively preparing for the upcoming Olympic qualifiers. Despite the absence of Luka Dončić in friendly matches, the team has showcased its strength and teamwork. Klemen Prepelič has taken on the leadership role, averaging 21 points and 5.5 assists per game. In recent friendlies, Slovenia has displayed quality basketball, even defeating Lithuania in one of two encounters (70-68) while narrowly losing the second (92-86). It's evident that they miss their star player Dončić, but their fast-paced basketball and scoring prowess remain intact.  Slovenia usually struggles in the first quarters, having lost 4 out of 5. Therefore, there is a possibility that the Slovenians might start slow. Another consideration is a high-scoring game, as their last 10 matches have shown an average total of 170 points.

Brazil

The Brazilians are also in contention for a spot at the Olympics, showcasing decent form in their friendly matches. The team's leader is Bruno Caboclo, who scored 21 points in their last game against Poland. Alexander Petrovic’s squad knows how to challenge any opponent, making them a dangerous contender.  Brazil showed strong performance against a sizeable Croatian team, even though they lost by 10 points. Caboclo makes a significant difference in the paint, and Slovenia lacks a player who can personally handle him, making this mismatch potentially decisive. The Brazilians also exhibit high scoring. Their last two friendlies saw them score 81 against Croatia and 91 against Poland. Given Slovenia's tendency to allow easy buckets, it is likely that we’ll see a high-scoring and entertaining basketball game.

Head-to-Head

Slovenia and Brazil have faced each other twice: in a 2014 friendly, the Brazilians won (88-84), while Slovenia was victorious in the 2010 World Championship (80-77). However, the current rosters have changed significantly, making these past results less relevant for the upcoming game.

Prediction for Slovenia vs Brazil

Based on the statistics, both teams tend to play high-scoring games. Considering it’s the last friendly before crucial qualifiers, defence will likely take a back seat, focusing instead on offensive displays. Hence, I foresee a total over for the entire match. Additionally, Brazil has won the first quarter in all four matches in 2024 and the first half in their last five consecutive encounters. Meanwhile, Slovenia has lost the first quarter in 6 out of their last 7 games. This is another aspect to consider for this match.