On Saturday, the 30th of March within the framework of the 30th round of the Italian Serie A, Napoli will host Atalanta on their home turf. The reigning champions are trailing La Dea by two points in the race for the top six while Gasperini's proteges advanced to the quarter-finals of Europa League just before the international break.
Napoli: Meret; Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Jesus, Rui; Anguissa, Lobotka, Traore; Politano, Osimhen, Raspadori.
Atalanta: Carnesecchi; Scalvini, Djimsiti, Kolasinac; Holm, Ederson, De Roon, Ruggeri; Miranchuk, Lookman; Scamacca.
The match will take place in Naples at Diego Maradona Stadium.
Napoli has greatly disappointed fans this season and quickly dropped out of contention for the Scudetto, which the Partenopei secured last year. Qualification for the Champions League also looks unlikely as the team is nine points adrift from the mighty four. The unsatisfactory results have led to the resignations of two coaches, and now the sky-blue team is managed by the Slovakian specialist Francesco Calzona. Nonetheless, the hosts still can contest for a finish in the Eurocup zone: they are only six points away from the fifth position.
Before the international break, Napoli managed to gain a point in a match against the leading Internazionale (1:1) thanks to Juan Jesus's goal towards the end of the match, but the Southerners were knocked out of the Champions League by Barcelona in the round of 16(aggregate 2:4). On Saturday, the hosts will try to extend their seven-match unbeaten streak at home, which began last December.
Currently, Atalanta occupies the 6th position in Serie A standings, having one game in hand and trailing by 7 points from league leaders. Lately, Gian Piero Gasperini's team has noticeably slowed down: the Bergamaschi couldn’t win any of their last 4 games (2 draws and 2 losses), despite triumphing in 5 previous encounters in the national championship. After defeats from Inter (4:0) and Bologna (1:2), Atalanta drew with Juventus three weeks ago (2:2), and their game with the Viola was cancelled last round due to the death of Fiorentina's director Joe Barone.
This Saturday, Gasperini's team is at risk of staying winless in five consecutive Serie A duels for the first time since February 2022. However, it should be reminded that the guests will face Liverpool in the quarter-finals of the Europa League, and they will meet Fiorentina in the semis of the Italian Cup.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 5 times, while Bergamaschi claimed victory four times. The first leg ended in an away victory for Partenopei with a score of 2:1.
This season, Napoli's home performance is far from impressive, and Atalanta only sits 10th in terms of points obtained away. Both teams battle for a Eurocup zone qualification, thus, a loss in a head-to-head with a direct competitor would be detrimental for both sides. In their last three matches, both sides had two draws with their opponents, so I'd risk betting on a draw here too.
What we can surely expect from this meeting is a plethora of goals: both teams scored in six of seven previous head-to-heads. My prediction – 'both teams to score'.
Both teams preach an exclusively attacking football style and are unlikely to stay on their own halves. I anticipate an entertaining show from the teams and place a bet on a total number of corners over 9.5.
Considering that the match result can determine the future of Euro cup tickets, it's reasonable to expect an intense clash with a plethora of warnings (over 4.5).
My bet is on a precise score of 2:2.
# | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | G | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 35:14 | 50 | |
2 | Inter | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 51:18 | 47 | |
3 | Atalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 46:24 | 43 | |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 37:28 | 39 | |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 17 | 34:17 | 37 | |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 33:21 | 33 | |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32:26 | 33 | |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:21 | 31 | |
9 | AS Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 31:27 | 27 | |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -8 | 24:32 | 26 | |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | -5 | 21:26 | 23 | |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | -12 | 18:30 | 23 | |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -8 | 26:34 | 22 | |
14 | Cagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -11 | 23:34 | 21 | |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -8 | 20:28 | 20 | |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -10 | 26:36 | 20 | |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -21 | 15:36 | 20 | |
18 | Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | -23 | 24:47 | 19 | |
19 | Venezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -15 | 19:34 | 15 | |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -11 | 20:31 | 13 | |
1 | Napoli | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 24 | |
2 | Inter | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26:13 | 24 | |
3 | Atalanta | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 28:15 | 22 | |
4 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19:14 | 21 | |
5 | AS Roma | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 23:11 | 21 | |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17:9 | 19 | |
7 | Fiorentina | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17:12 | 18 | |
8 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:9 | 17 | |
9 | AC Milan | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:6 | 17 | |
10 | Como | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 17:16 | 15 | |
11 | Udinese | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:13 | 14 | |
12 | Lecce | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:17 | 13 | |
13 | Cagliari | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:19 | 12 | |
14 | Parma | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 17:19 | 12 | |
15 | Venezia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11:13 | 11 | |
16 | Torino | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7:10 | 10 | |
17 | Verona | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 11:25 | 10 | |
18 | Genoa | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 10:16 | 9 | |
19 | Empoli | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4:11 | 7 | |
20 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 10:16 | 6 | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20:8 | 26 | |
2 | Inter | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25:5 | 23 | |
3 | Atalanta | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18:9 | 21 | |
4 | Lazio | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 18:14 | 18 | |
5 | Juventus | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:8 | 18 | |
6 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17:17 | 16 | |
7 | Fiorentina | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16:9 | 15 | |
8 | AC Milan | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14:15 | 14 | |
9 | Genoa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:14 | 14 | |
10 | Torino | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14:16 | 13 | |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16:17 | 13 | |
12 | Udinese | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 13:19 | 12 | |
13 | Cagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:15 | 9 | |
14 | Verona | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 13:22 | 9 | |
15 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 9:17 | 8 | |
16 | Como | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 9:18 | 7 | |
17 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 6:19 | 7 | |
18 | Monza | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10:15 | 7 | |
19 | AS Roma | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 8:16 | 6 | |
20 | Venezia | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 8:21 | 4 |
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