Lazio - AC Milan predictions and free betting tips [01/03/2024]

On Friday, 1st March, as part of the 27th round of the Italian Serie A, Lazio will host Milan at home. Lazio is heading towards a return match with Bayern in the Champions League playoff next week, whereas the Rossoneri have been without a win for three matches in a row.

Predicted Line-ups

Lazio: Provedel, Lazzari, Casale, Romagnoli, Hysaj; Guendouzi, Cataldi, Luis Alberto; Isaksen, Immobile, Felipe Anderson.
Milan: Maignan; Florenzi, Thiaw, Gabbia, Hernandez; Reijnders, Bennacer, Loftus-Cheek; Pulisic, Giroud, Rafael Leao.

Stadium

The match will take place in Rome at the Stadio Olimpico.

Lazio

In the last season, Lazio finished second in the Serie A table, but their performance in the current campaign hasn't been as impressive. Currently, Biancocelesti are ranked eighth overall, lagging eight points behind the top four. Although qualifying for the Champions League is unlikely at this stage, Maurizio Sarri's charges can still aim for a berth in the European cups. To do this, the white and blues need to quickly regain their form: the hosts have suffered three defeats in the last six rounds, compared to two wins and a draw.

The team from the capital lost to Fiorentina last Monday (2:1) following a victory over Torino (0:2). However, Lazio has only lost once in their last six matches at home (1:2 against Bologna on 18th February) and has gained 21 points, scored 13 goals, and conceded only 9 in 12 matches at the Olimpico. In the Champions League playoff, Lazio won the first match against Bayern (1:0) and will head to Munich next week to compete for a spot in the quarterfinal. 

Milan

Although Milan is no longer in the running for the Scudetto, the team is currently third in Serie A and has a strong chance of participating in the next Champions League (a seven-point lead over the fifth spot). After going nine rounds without a defeat (7 wins and 2 draws), the Rossoneri had a less than satisfactory performance in their last two matches. First, they lost 4:2 in Monza, followed by a 1:1 draw at home against Atalanta last weekend. Teun Koopmeiners equalised with a converted penalty in response to Rafael Leão's wonder goal.

Interestingly, the visitors perform well away from home, having earned 24 points in 13 away matches, scoring 28 goals and conceding 24. In the Europa League, Milan defeated Rennes in the playoff (5:3 aggregate score), and will take on Slavia Prague in the round of 16 of the tournament. Milan's lineup continues to miss centre-back Tomori and regularly substituted players Kalulu and Pobega.

Head-to-head Matches

In the first round in Milan, the Rossoneri came out on top with a score of 2:0. Moreover, in six of the previous seven head-to-head matches, Pioli's wards claimed victory.

Match Prediction for Lazio vs Milan

Of course, Maurizio Sarri will keep in mind the return match with Bayern next week, while Milan needs to end their consecutive three-match losing streak. In addition to successful performances against the Eagles in recent years, the Rossoneri had an extra day to recover after the last round. My prediction is a victory for the visiting team with a 0 handicap.

Total Prediction

In six out of the last seven head-to-head matches between these teams, there was no exchange of goals. I anticipate a closed game with a minimum of goal-scoring opportunities - my bet is on "both teams will score: no".

Corner Prediction

Milan averages only 4.3 corners per match, while the Romans average 5. As both teams need points, neither will take bold risks. I confidently bet on less than 9.5 total corners.

Yellow Card Prediction

In their last two head-to-head matches, these teams collectively earned five yellow cards – and it'll likely be the same this time.

Score Prediction

My bet is on a precise score of 0:1 in Milan's favour.