On Sunday, 11th February, as part of the 24th round of the Italian Serie A, Genoa will take on Atalanta in their own backyard. As the Nerazzurri gradually climb the leaderboard, the hosts are striving to take their spot in the top ten, having last suffered a defeat in December.
Genoa: Martinez; Vogliacco, Bani, Vasquez; Sabelli, Frendrup, Badelj, Malinovskyi, Spence; Gudmundsson; Retegui.
Atalanta: Carnesecchi; Scalvini, Djimsiti, Kolasinac; Holm, De Roon, Koopmeiners, Ruggeri; Pasalic, Miranchuk; De Ketelaere.
After a season in Serie B, Genoa have made a comeback to the top division. With a fair chance of staying there at the end of the current campaign, the team currently holds the 11th position in the Serie A leaderboard, 11 points clear of the relegation zone. The Griffins have been remarkably consistent, as their current unbeaten run of 8 rounds (3 wins and 5 draws) testifies. After victories over Salernitana (2:1) and Lecce (2:1), the rossoblù played a goalless draw with Empoli last weekend.
Genoa could become the first team in a decade to go nine matches without a loss in Serie A - the last time the Ligurian club achieved such a feat was under Gasperini's guidance. Furthermore, Alberto Gilardino's charges rank third in the overall rankings for first-half goals, although only Salernitana and Empoli perform worse in the second half.
Currently ranked 4th in Serie A and one point clear of AS Roma in fifth place, with one game in hand, Atalanta are contenders for a Champions League spot. Following an impressive stint of five games unbeaten (4 wins, 1 draw), Gian Piero Gasperini's men are thriving, as they have won three in a row, all at home: against Frosinone (5:0), Udinese (2:0) and Lazio last weekend (3:1) courtesy of goals from Charles De Ketelaere. On their way to Genoa, the Biancocelesti are eager to secure a fourth consecutive triumph for the first time since 2021, despite amassing only two points from their last four away matches.
Having reached the Coppa Italia semi-finals, the Bergamo players have also secured a place in the last 16 of the Europa League. Notably, after triumphing over Lazio, Gasperini became just the fifth coach to win 150 matches with one club in Serie A. The Atalanta squad is without recently injured defender Hien and playmaker Palomino.
Genoa's last triumph over La Dea in Serie A dates back to December 2018, while Bergamo claimed a 2:0 win in the first round of the current season.
After earning promotion, Genoa has turned their home ground into quite a fortress, having lost just twice in 11 championship matches here. Such resilience could end Atalanta's winning streak, given the Bergamo outfit's modest away record. Four out of the six previous clashes have concluded with a draw – I dare to bet on the same outcome now.
Genoa is among Serie A's top scorers in the first half. I dare to bet on the griffins scoring during this period.
Atalanta is likely to dominate ball possession and create more threats on the opponent's goal - Bergamo players will dominate the corners.
Genoa earns an average of 2.2 yellow cards per game, Atalanta - only 1.9. I predict the total number of bookings to be under 4.5.
I predict a final score of 1:1.
# | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | G | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 21:9 | 32 | |
2 | Atalanta | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 36:16 | 31 | |
3 | Inter | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 31:14 | 28 | |
4 | Fiorentina | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 27:10 | 28 | |
5 | Lazio | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 29:17 | 28 | |
6 | Juventus | 14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 14 | 22:8 | 26 | |
7 | AC Milan | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 23:14 | 22 | |
8 | Bologna | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:16 | 21 | |
9 | Udinese | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 16:21 | 17 | |
10 | Empoli | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -4 | 10:14 | 16 | |
11 | Parma | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 20:22 | 15 | |
12 | Torino | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 16:20 | 15 | |
13 | Cagliari | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -9 | 15:24 | 14 | |
14 | Genoa | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 13:24 | 14 | |
15 | AS Roma | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 14:20 | 13 | |
16 | Lecce | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -15 | 7:22 | 13 | |
17 | Verona | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -16 | 17:33 | 12 | |
18 | Como | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -12 | 14:26 | 11 | |
19 | Monza | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 12:17 | 10 | |
20 | Venezia | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -14 | 11:25 | 8 | |
1 | Lazio | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:6 | 19 | |
2 | Napoli | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 18 | |
3 | Atalanta | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:8 | 15 | |
4 | Inter | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16:9 | 14 | |
5 | Fiorentina | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:6 | 14 | |
6 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 14 | |
7 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 13 | |
8 | Udinese | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8:8 | 12 | |
9 | Bologna | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 | |
10 | Cagliari | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:14 | 9 | |
11 | AS Roma | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9:9 | 9 | |
12 | Lecce | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:14 | 9 | |
13 | Verona | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10:17 | 9 | |
14 | Parma | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:14 | 8 | |
15 | Torino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:7 | 8 | |
16 | Empoli | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2:5 | 7 | |
17 | Como | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:13 | 6 | |
18 | Venezia | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:8 | 6 | |
19 | Genoa | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8:14 | 5 | |
20 | Monza | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5:9 | 3 | |
1 | Atalanta | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16:8 | 16 | |
2 | Napoli | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 14 | |
3 | Inter | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:5 | 14 | |
4 | Fiorentina | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 14 | |
5 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 13 | |
6 | Bologna | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:13 | 11 | |
7 | Lazio | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12:11 | 9 | |
8 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:9 | 9 | |
9 | Genoa | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:10 | 9 | |
10 | AC Milan | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10:10 | 8 | |
11 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:8 | 7 | |
12 | Torino | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10:13 | 7 | |
13 | Monza | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7:8 | 7 | |
14 | Udinese | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:13 | 5 | |
15 | Cagliari | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:10 | 5 | |
16 | Como | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6:13 | 5 | |
17 | AS Roma | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5:11 | 4 | |
18 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1:8 | 4 | |
19 | Verona | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7:16 | 3 | |
20 | Venezia | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5:17 | 2 |
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