On Monday, 29 January, within the framework of the 22nd round of Italian Serie A, "Salernitana" will host "Roma". The inaugural game for Daniele De Rossi as coach of the "Giallorossi" ended in victory last week, while the hosts have only won twice this season and languish at the foot of the league table.
"Salernitana": Ochoa; Zanoli, Gyomber, Daniliuc, Bradaric; Martegani, Maggiore, Basic; Candreva, Tchaouna; Simy.
"Roma": Patricio; Karsdorp, Mancini, Llorente, Kristensen; Pellegrini, Cristante, Bove; El Shaarawy, Dybala; Lukaku.
Earning only 12 points from 21 games, Salernitana is in a difficult tournament situation and occupies the very last place in the overall standings of Serie A. The club will have to make a considerable effort to avoid relegation, which apparently is already imminent (lagging behind 17th place by 6 points). Even the coaching shuffle has not helped: Paulo Sousa has given his post to Pippo Inzaghi.
Just before New Year, white-brown won against "Verona" with a score of 0:1, but since then they have suffered 3 defeats: from "Juventus" (1:2), "Napoli" (2:1) and "Genoa" (1:2) last weekend, despite an early goal by Agustin Martegani. Needless to say, "Salernitana" is the absolute worst team in Serie A when it comes home: only 7 points scored in 22 matches, 11 goals scored, 22 conceded.
Occupying only 8th place in the Serie A standings, Roma has been inconsistent this season. The capital club is still aiming for a European cup ticket, backed by the fact that the "Giallorossi" are only 2 points away from the 4th spot. Unsatisfactory results and three matchless victories led to the dismissal of Jose Mourinho, who was replaced by Daniele De Rossi. In the first game under the new head coach, Roma defeated "Verona" 2:1 in front of their own fans thanks to goals from Romelu Lukaku and Lorenzo Pellegrini.
Importantly, the Romans have lost each of their last three away games in Serie A – against Bologna, Juventus, and Milan. Midweek, the "wolves" played a friendly match with "Al-Shabab" in Saudi Arabia, where Lukaku scored the decisive goal. Having been knocked out of the Coppa Italia, the capital team will face Feyenoord in the Europa League playoffs.
"Salernitana" has won only one of their nine meetings with "Roma" in Serie A, though the last two have ended in a 2:2 draw.
The change in the coaching staff should boost "Roma", and the strength of their squad allows them to aim for a Champions League spot. The hosts have only won twice since the beginning of the season and are currently on a four-game losing streak. My prediction is a victory for the capital team.
Salernitana concedes on average two goals per game at the Stadio Arechi this season and is struggling with defensive issues. I expect at least two goals from the Romans.
Obviously, "Roma" are superior in class to their opponent and have a number of tall players – I expect a victory for "Giallorossi" in corner kicks with a handicap of -1.5.
Both teams earn, on average, 2.5 yellow cards per game during the season – I expect at least four warnings from the main referee.
I'll wager on the exact score of 1:2 in favour of "Roma".
# | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | G | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 54:25 | 74 | |
2 | Inter | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 72:33 | 71 | |
3 | Atalanta | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 67:31 | 65 | |
4 | Juventus | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 20 | 51:31 | 62 | |
5 | Bologna | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 52:37 | 61 | |
6 | AS Roma | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 49:32 | 60 | |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 57:45 | 60 | |
8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 53:34 | 59 | |
9 | AC Milan | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 53:38 | 54 | |
10 | Torino | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | -1 | 38:39 | 43 | |
11 | Como | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -4 | 44:48 | 42 | |
12 | Udinese | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | -12 | 36:48 | 41 | |
13 | Genoa | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | -12 | 29:41 | 39 | |
14 | Cagliari | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | -14 | 35:49 | 33 | |
15 | Verona | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | -32 | 30:62 | 32 | |
16 | Parma | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | -13 | 40:53 | 32 | |
17 | Lecce | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -32 | 24:56 | 27 | |
18 | Venezia | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -21 | 27:48 | 25 | |
19 | Empoli | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -27 | 27:54 | 25 | |
20 | Monza | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | -34 | 25:59 | 15 | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 28:11 | 41 | |
2 | Inter | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 37:19 | 39 | |
3 | Juventus | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 29:15 | 37 | |
4 | Fiorentina | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 29:16 | 37 | |
5 | Bologna | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 31:14 | 36 | |
6 | AS Roma | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 33:14 | 35 | |
7 | Atalanta | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 32:20 | 29 | |
8 | Lazio | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 32:24 | 29 | |
9 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 25:15 | 28 | |
10 | Como | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 25:23 | 26 | |
11 | Torino | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 16:13 | 24 | |
12 | Udinese | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 19:22 | 24 | |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 18:20 | 22 | |
14 | Parma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 25:27 | 20 | |
15 | Cagliari | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 20:26 | 19 | |
16 | Venezia | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 13:18 | 17 | |
17 | Verona | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 13:34 | 15 | |
18 | Lecce | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12:30 | 15 | |
19 | Empoli | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 7:22 | 10 | |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 12:24 | 8 | |
1 | Atalanta | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 35:11 | 36 | |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 26:14 | 33 | |
3 | Inter | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 35:14 | 32 | |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 25:21 | 31 | |
5 | AC Milan | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 28:23 | 26 | |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 22:16 | 25 | |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 21:23 | 25 | |
8 | AS Roma | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 16:18 | 25 | |
9 | Fiorentina | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 24:18 | 22 | |
10 | Torino | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 22:26 | 19 | |
11 | Udinese | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 17:26 | 17 | |
12 | Genoa | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 11:21 | 17 | |
13 | Verona | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 17:28 | 17 | |
14 | Como | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 19:25 | 16 | |
15 | Empoli | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 20:32 | 15 | |
16 | Cagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 15:23 | 14 | |
17 | Parma | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 15:26 | 12 | |
18 | Lecce | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 12:26 | 12 | |
19 | Venezia | 17 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 14:30 | 8 | |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 13:35 | 7 |
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