On Wednesday, the 10th of January, in the quarterfinals of the Coppa Italia, Milan will host Atalanta at their home ground. The hosts approach this fixture in excellent form after three consecutive victories with only one goal conceded during this period, while La Dea are aiming to secure their first trophy in 61 years.
Milan: Maignan; Calabria, Kjaer, Hernandez, Florenzi; Reijnders, Adli, Loftus-Cheek; Pulisic, Jovic, Traore.
Roma: Musso; Scalvini, Djimsiti, Kolasinac; Zappacosta, De Roon, Pasalic, Koopmeiners, Ruggeri; Muriel, Scamacca.
The match will take place in Milan at the San Siro stadium.
Having last won the Italian Cup in 2003, Milan hope to end their drought this season: the rossoneri easily defeated Cagliari in the previous round (4:1). In the championship, the Lombards are comfortably perched on the podium (6 points clear of the 4th position), albeit out of the Scudetto race (9 points behind leaders Inter). After a 3:2 defeat by Atalanta, Stefano Pioli's charges have gone four rounds without defeat (3 wins and 1 draw), and this streak is still ongoing.
Last weekend, the hosts secured a convincing victory over Empoli (0:3): Giroud, Loftus-Cheek and Traore got on the scoresheet. In contrast, in their last three meetings, the team have conceded only one goal, while hitting the back of the net eight times. Having placed third in their Champions League group, Milan have advanced to the Europa League playoffs, where they will meet Rennes in February.
In the previous round, Atalanta comfortably secured a home win over Sassuolo, winning 3:1. La Dea was expected to contest for a Champions League berth in the league but have fallen short of expectations and currently occupy sixth place, three points off the fourth spot. Following a poor run of results, Gian Piero Gasperini's pupils have started to gain momentum: the black and blues have won 3 out of the last 5 games, drawing once and losing once.
Last weekend the guests played out a draw with Roma at the Stadio Olimpico (1:1). If they lose on Wednesday, Atalanta will bow out of the Italian Cup at this stage for the third consecutive time, having lost to Fiorentina and Inter Milan in the previous two years. Having topped their Europa League group, Atalanta have directly qualified for the last 16 of the tournament.
Last month, the rossoneri suffered a dramatic defeat at the hands of Atalanta in Serie A – a Luis Muriel strike in the 95th minute of the match (3:2) made the difference.
In recent weeks, Milan has been in fine form, remaining unbeaten in six consecutive games across all competitions. After a disastrous November, Atalanta also have been coming back to form, gradually closing down on the Champions League places in Serie A. Both teams could arguably master a route into the semi-finals, and here, the factor of home advantage should play a key role. I dare to wager on a victory for the hosts with 0 handicap.
Milan has conceded just one goal in three recent matches, despite a host of injuries. It's logical to bet on Atalanta's individual total under 1.5.
Both teams attack a lot from the flanks and have several high-profile players – meaning an abundance of corner kicks is inevitable (total over 9.5).
Neither team is known for their excessive roughness on the pitch, and they haven't received any yellow cards in the current Coppa run. I bet on the total warnings under 3.5.
I'll place a bet on an exact score of 2:0 in favour of Milan.
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