On Saturday, 17th of February, during 25th matchday of the Premier League, Brentford will host Liverpool on their home turf. The Reds have reasserted their rightful place at the top of the league table, subduing Burnley with a 3:1 scoreline, last weekend, while the Bees have managed a successful away match at Molineux, seizing victory over the Wolves with a 0:2 score.
Brentford: Flekken; Collins, Mee, Pinnock; Roerslev, Janelt, Jensen, Norgaard, Reguilon; Toney, Maupay.
Liverpool: Alisson; Bradley, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson; Jones, Endo, Mac Allister; Jota, Nunez, Diaz.
The clash will take place in London at Brentford Community Stadium.
Currently sitting comfortably mid-table, Brentford hold the 14th position in the Premier League. With one game in hand, they sit six points clear of the drop zone. However, the Bees have slowed down in recent weeks as evidenced by their record of seven defeats in their last nine matchdays with only two victories. Last weekend the Bees secured an important victory over Wolverhampton with a 0:2 scoreline, which followed two defeats from Tottenham (3:2) and Manchester City (1:3).
Christian Norgaard's close-range strike put the Londoners ahead and Ivan Tony marked the second half with another goal. Having been knocked out of both domestic cups, Brentford can now focus solely on the national championship. An interesting fact: in only one out of their last 25 home Premier League matches haven't the Bees managed to score.
Impressing this season, Liverpool currently top the Premier League table, having a game in hand and a 2-point lead over Manchester City. After winning four consecutive games, the Reds fell short in a clash against Arsenal, losing 3:1. Over the last weekend, they came back to form, triumphing 3:1 over struggling Burnley. Diogo Jota and Dara O'Shea each landed goals in the first half, while in the second half, Luis Diaz and Darwin Nunez secured the three points for the Merseysiders. 14 out of 18 points the Reds have lost have been away from home, yet manager Klopp's charges have not faced consecutive defeats this campaign.
Worth noting, Liverpool boast the second most productive attack in the championship: 55 goals scored and only 23 conceded. Having reached the League Cup final, Liverpool continues its participation in the FA Cup. Unavailable for the Reds' lineup are: irreplaceable Mo Salah (14 goals, 8 assists) who began training with the regular group last week.
In the November clash at Anfield, Liverpool secured a 3:0 victory. However, neither of these clubs have managed to secure an away victory in head to head games throughout the Premier League era.
No Premier League team has lost more points when leading than Brentford (26) this season, whilst the Merseysiders have gained 19 points when trailing. Generally, even without the injured Salah, the visitors feel very comfortable playing against mid-table teams, while the Bees can rely heavily on Ivan Tony in attack. I don't expect a surprise here and bet on a triumph for Jurgen Klopp's collective.
Four out of five head-to-head matches between these two teams have seen an over 2.5 goals total. Liverpool is not faultless in defence hence I expect a high scoring game from both teams.
Of course, the Reds will tend to be more offensive and generally control the initiative – however, it's unlikely the Londoners will hole up in front of their goal completely. My prediction - Total corners over 9.5.
Neither of these teams are known for excessively rough play on the pitch, therefore, a confident bet would be a total bookings under 4.5.
I will bet on a final score of 1:3 in favour of Liverpool.
# | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | G | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 50:20 | 50 | |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 43:21 | 44 | |
3 | Nottingham | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 33:22 | 44 | |
4 | Chelsea | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 44:27 | 40 | |
5 | Manchester City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 44:29 | 38 | |
6 | Newcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 38:26 | 38 | |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 36:26 | 37 | |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | -1 | 33:34 | 36 | |
9 | Brighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 35:30 | 34 | |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 34:30 | 33 | |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 40:39 | 28 | |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | -3 | 25:28 | 27 | |
13 | Manchester Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 27:32 | 26 | |
14 | West Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -16 | 27:43 | 26 | |
15 | Tottenham | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 45:35 | 24 | |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -10 | 18:28 | 20 | |
17 | Wolves | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -19 | 32:51 | 16 | |
18 | Ipswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -23 | 20:43 | 16 | |
19 | Leicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -25 | 23:48 | 14 | |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | -35 | 15:50 | 6 | |
1 | Arsenal | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22:9 | 25 | |
2 | Liverpool | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20:8 | 23 | |
3 | Brentford | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 29:23 | 23 | |
4 | Aston Villa | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19:13 | 22 | |
5 | Nottingham | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15:10 | 21 | |
6 | Manchester City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21:14 | 20 | |
7 | Newcastle | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 19:12 | 20 | |
8 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:14 | 19 | |
9 | Bournemouth | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:7 | 18 | |
10 | Fulham | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18:17 | 17 | |
11 | Manchester Utd | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 17:20 | 16 | |
12 | Brighton | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14:13 | 15 | |
13 | West Ham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 16:26 | 14 | |
14 | Tottenham | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 26:21 | 14 | |
15 | Everton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:13 | 13 | |
16 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 10:17 | 11 | |
17 | Leicester | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 11:21 | 9 | |
18 | Wolves | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 14:23 | 7 | |
19 | Ipswich | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 8:24 | 7 | |
20 | Southampton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 7:27 | 4 | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 30:12 | 27 | |
2 | Nottingham | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18:12 | 23 | |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 24:13 | 21 | |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21:12 | 19 | |
5 | Bournemouth | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 24:19 | 19 | |
6 | Brighton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 21:17 | 19 | |
7 | Manchester City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 23:15 | 18 | |
8 | Newcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 19:14 | 18 | |
9 | Fulham | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16:13 | 16 | |
10 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:11 | 16 | |
11 | Aston Villa | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 14:21 | 14 | |
12 | West Ham | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:17 | 12 | |
13 | Manchester Utd | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:12 | 10 | |
14 | Tottenham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 19:14 | 10 | |
15 | Wolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 18:28 | 9 | |
16 | Ipswich | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:19 | 9 | |
17 | Everton | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 6:15 | 7 | |
18 | Brentford | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 11:16 | 5 | |
19 | Leicester | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 12:27 | 5 | |
20 | Southampton | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 8:23 | 2 |
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